Twente vs Ferencvarosi TC — UEFA Europa League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 14′Ferencvarosi TC, goal:0–1assist
- 38′Twente, goal:1–1assist
- Half-time1 – 1
- 69′Ferencvarosi TC, substitution:off
- 69′Ferencvarosi TC, substitution:off
- 78′Twente, substitution:off
- 78′Twente, substitution:off
- 80′Ferencvarosi TC, goal:1–2assist
- 87′Ferencvarosi TC, substitution:off
- 90+1′Ferencvarosi TC, substitution:O. Nagyoff
- Full-time1 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Goals
Assists
Videos
Match report
Twente vs Ferencvarosi TC — the facts
Ferencvarosi TC won 2–1 away against Twente (half-time 1–1).
Twente met Ferencvarosi TC in the UEFA Europa League (2nd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 23 July 2026, 18:00 UTC at De Grolsch Veste. Referee: Damian Kos.
Team pages: Twente · Ferencvarosi TC · UEFA Europa League
Key moments
- 14' Goal: Lenny Joseph (assist: Kristoffer Zachariassen) — 0–1
- 38' Goal: Aske Adelgaard (assist: Sondre Ørjasæter) — 1–1 · Watch Aske Adelgaard's goal video (38')
- 80' Goal: Lenny Joseph (assist: Callum O'Dowda) — 1–2 · Watch Lenny Joseph's goal video (80')
Starting line-ups
Twente (4-2-1-3)
Ferencvarosi TC (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Twente 57%, the draw 23%, Ferencvarosi TC 20%. It finished Twente 1–2 Ferencvarosi TC.
A slight rating edge to Twente, little else — Twente are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and their control of the ball plus UEFA Europa League home advantage on top give Twente a clear lead. The draw at 23% is trimmed by a league that produces few draws.
Why Twente at 57%?
Twente sit 69 points higher on our strength rating — 1801 to 1733. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.5% of 10,268 such games. Twente hold 7 more possession points (53 to 46 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.0% of 5,134 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level. UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (22.8% vs 24.9% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 47.5% of 4,370 games vs 44.9% across all 98,257 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 57%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 57% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and Ferencvarosi TC at 20%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.5% of 24,589. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.1 points off.
What did we measure but not count?
Twente scored +0.38 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.3% of 1,433 games, vs 28.0% against normal finishing.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Twente vs Ferencvarosi TC final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Aske Adelgaard's goal against Ferencvarosi TC (38').
- Watch Lenny Joseph's goal against Twente (80').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Twente 1–2 Ferencvarosi TC. Explore more on the Twente and Ferencvarosi TC team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.