HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos — UEFA Europa League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 4′HNK Hajduk Split, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 55′Pafos, yellow card:Foul
- 56′HNK Hajduk Split, goal:1–0
- 63′Pafos, substitution:off
- 63′Pafos, substitution:off
- 64′Pafos, yellow card:Professional foul
- 64′HNK Hajduk Split, goal:2–0assist
- 74′Pafos, substitution:off
- 74′Pafos, substitution:off
- 77′HNK Hajduk Split, substitution:off
- 77′HNK Hajduk Split, substitution:off
- 77′HNK Hajduk Split, substitution:off
- 83′HNK Hajduk Split, substitution:off
- 87′HNK Hajduk Split, yellow card:Foul
- 88′HNK Hajduk Split, yellow card:Professional foul
- 90+2′HNK Hajduk Split, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Goals
Assist
Videos
Match report
HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos — the facts
HNK Hajduk Split beat Pafos 2–0 (half-time 0–0).
HNK Hajduk Split met Pafos in the UEFA Europa League (2nd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 23 July 2026, 19:00 UTC at Stadion Poljud. Referee: Robert Harvey.
Team pages: HNK Hajduk Split · Pafos · UEFA Europa League
Key moments
- 56' Goal: Michele Šego — 1–0 · Watch Michele Šego's goal video (56')
- 64' Goal: Dario Melnjak (assist: Mathieu Acapandié) — 2–0 · Watch Dario Melnjak's goal video (64')
Starting line-ups
HNK Hajduk Split (4-2-3-1)
Pafos (3-4-3)
- 99 Radosław Majecki
- 3 Samy Mmaee
- 4 David Luiz
- 5 David Goldar
- 14 Nicholas Ioannou
- 26 Ivan Šunjić
- 88 Pêpê Rodrigues
- 11 Jajá
- 20 Biel
- 18 Lelê
- 30 Vlad Dragomir
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave HNK Hajduk Split 34%, the draw 28%, Pafos 38%. It finished HNK Hajduk Split 2–0 Pafos.
Pafos' rating edge outweighs HNK Hajduk Split's home ground — Pafos are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Pafos' 38%. The draw at 28% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Pafos at 38%?
Pafos sit 151 points higher on our strength rating — 1498 to 1649. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 12,924 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 31–26–43.
Why only 38%?
UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (22.8% vs 24.9% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 47.5% of 4,370 games vs 44.9% across all 98,257 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 28%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.0 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,012. The goals environment adds 3.4 points to the draw. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.1 points off.
What did we measure but not count?
HNK Hajduk Split average 8 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 151 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from HNK Hajduk Split 2–0 Pafos. Explore more on the HNK Hajduk Split and Pafos team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.