Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF — UEFA Europa League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow4 clips- 2′Hammarby FF, goal:0–1
- 27′Hammarby FF, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- 46′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- 47′Anderlecht, goal:1–1assist
- 55′Hammarby FF, yellow card:Handling
- 65′Anderlecht, yellow card:
- 66′Hammarby FF, substitution:off
- 66′Anderlecht, yellow card:Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 66′Hammarby FF, substitution:off
- 68′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- 73′Hammarby FF, yellow card:Holding
- 76′Hammarby FF, substitution:off
- 76′Hammarby FF, substitution:off
- 81′Anderlecht, goal:2–1
- 84′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- 87′Hammarby FF, substitution:off
- 89′Anderlecht, goal:3–1
- 90+2′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- Full-time3 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Goals
Assist
Videos
Match report
Anderlecht overturn early deficit to sink Hammarby FF at Lotto Park
Anderlecht came from behind to beat Hammarby FF 3-1 in the UEFA Europa League second qualifying round at Lotto Park, recovering from a second-minute setback to score three times in the second half. Paulos Abraham had given the visitors a shock lead inside two minutes, and Hammarby held that advantage through to half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Danylo Sikan levelled for Anderlecht three minutes into the second half, finishing an assist from Ali Maamar to make it 1-1. The home side then took control late on, with M. Cvetkovic putting them ahead in the 81st minute before Tristan Degreef added a third in the 89th to complete the turnaround and settle the tie in Anderlecht's favour.
Anderlecht dominated territory throughout, and the statistics reflected the one-sided nature of the contest after the opening goal, with the hosts firing far more efforts at goal than their opponents managed across the ninety minutes.
Sikan's equaliser, set up by Maamar, proved the turning point that shifted momentum firmly towards Anderlecht in the second half.
Anderlecht overwhelmed Hammarby FF with 21 shots to just 5, underlining their control once the game turned in the second half.
Anderlecht beat Hammarby FF 3–1 (half-time 0–1).
Anderlecht met Hammarby FF in the UEFA Europa League (2nd Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 30 July 2026, 18:30 UTC at Lotto Park. Referee: Danilo Nikolic.
Team pages: Anderlecht · Hammarby FF · UEFA Europa League
Key moments
- 2' Goal: Paulos Abraham — 0–1 · Watch Paulos Abraham's goal video (2')
- 47' Goal: Danylo Sikan (assist: Ali Maamar) — 1–1 · Watch Danylo Sikan's goal video (47')
- 81' Goal: Mihajlo Cvetković — 2–1 · Watch Mihajlo Cvetković's goal video (81')
- 89' Goal: Tristan Degreef — 3–1 · Watch Tristan Degreef's goal video (89')
Starting line-ups
Anderlecht (4-4-2)
Hammarby FF (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Anderlecht 60%, the draw 22%, Hammarby FF 18%. It finished Anderlecht 3–1 Hammarby FF.
Anderlecht's rating edge carries it — Anderlecht are the stronger side on our strength rating, and UEFA Europa League home advantage on top gives Anderlecht a clear lead. The draw at 22% is trimmed by a league that produces few draws.
Why Anderlecht at 60%?
Anderlecht sit 123 points higher on our strength rating — 1682 to 1559. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,618 such games. UEFA Europa League home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (22.8% vs 24.9% norm). UEFA Europa League homes won 47.5% of 4,379 games vs 44.9% across all 98,666 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 56–27–17.
Why only 60%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 60% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and Hammarby FF at 18%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,687. UEFA Europa League produces fewer draws than most, taking 2.1 points off.
What did we measure but not count?
Anderlecht scored +0.36 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,719 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.0% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Hammarby FF have 15 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Anderlecht vs Hammarby FF final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Paulos Abraham's goal against Anderlecht (2').
- Watch Danylo Sikan's goal against Hammarby FF (47').
- Watch Mihajlo Cvetković's goal against Hammarby FF (81').
- Watch Tristan Degreef's goal against Hammarby FF (89').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Anderlecht 3–1 Hammarby FF. Explore more on the Anderlecht and Hammarby FF team pages or the UEFA Europa League page.