FC Astana vs 16.07.26 15:001 – 4After ETAgg: 2 – 4
Dinamo Tirana — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana — the facts
Dinamo Tirana won 4–1 away against FC Astana (half-time 1–0).
FC Astana met Dinamo Tirana in the UEFA Europa Conference League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 16 July 2026, 15:00 UTC at Astana Arena. Referee: Oscar Johnson.
Team pages: FC Astana · Dinamo Tirana · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 23' Goal (penalty): Bauyrzhan Islamkhan — 1–0
- 49' Red card: Kipras Kažukolovas
- 50' Goal (penalty): Bruno Dita — 1–1
- 62' Goal: H. Berisha (assist: I. Manellari) — 1–2
- 93' Goal: L. Vila (assist: U. Ismaili) — 1–3
- 120' Goal: M. Koma — 1–4
Starting line-ups
FC Astana (4-4-2)
- 93 Josip Čondrić
- 11 Yan Vorogovskiy
- 3 Branimir Kalaica
- 5 Kipras Kažukolovas
- 2 Karlo Bartolec
- 47 Maksat Abraev
- 7 Dinmukhamed Karaman
- 8 Ivan Bašić
- 10 Marin Tomasov
- 81 Ramazan Karimov
- 9 Bauyrzhan Islamkhan
Dinamo Tirana (3-5-2)
- 77 Aldo Teqja
- 27 Naser Aliji
- 22 Bruno Dita
- 2 Ysni Ismaili
- 13 Fabjan Perndreca
- 21 Klevi Qefalija
- 28 Isi Manellari
- 20 Malomo Taofeek Ayodeji
- 10 Lorenco Vila
- 8 Eridon Qardaku
- 29 Hekuran Berisha
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave FC Astana 59%, the draw 27%, Dinamo Tirana 14%. It finished FC Astana 1–2 Dinamo Tirana.
FC Astana's rating gap, but the draw is in play — FC Astana are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of FC Astana's 59%. The draw at 27% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why FC Astana at 59%?
FC Astana sit 265 points higher on our strength rating — 1472 to 1207. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.1% of 5,861 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 60–25–15.
Why only 59%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 59% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and Dinamo Tirana at 14%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Dinamo Tirana win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 23.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.2 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,002. The goals environment adds 3.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Dinamo Tirana have 7 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the FC Astana and Dinamo Tirana team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana?
Dinamo Tirana won 4–1 away against FC Astana (half-time 1–0).
›Who scored in FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana?
Bauyrzhan Islamkhan (23') (penalty) for FC Astana; Bruno Dita (50') (penalty) for Dinamo Tirana; H. Berisha (62') for Dinamo Tirana; L. Vila (93') for Dinamo Tirana; M. Koma (120') for Dinamo Tirana.
›Where can I watch FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana highlights?
This page carries the full match report, stats and lineups for FC Astana vs Dinamo Tirana; goal clips are added as soon as official highlights are available.
›What is the head-to-head record between FC Astana and Dinamo Tirana?
FC Astana and Dinamo Tirana have met 1 time — 1 win for FC Astana, 0 wins for Dinamo Tirana and 0 draws.