Hamrun Spartans vs NSI Runavik — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- -5′Hamrun Spartans, yellow card:Messie BiatoumoussokaArgument
- -5′Hamrun Spartans, yellow card:Argument
- 43′NSI Runavik, goal:0–1assist
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Hamrun Spartans, substitution:L. Villelaoff
- 46′Hamrun Spartans, substitution:offT. Bjornstad
- 53′Hamrun Spartans, goal:1–1assist
- 59′Hamrun Spartans, yellow card:Foul
- 73′NSI Runavik, yellow card:Foul
- 79′NSI Runavik, substitution:T. HestadoffS. Skytte
- 79′NSI Runavik, substitution:offF. Drinic
- 80′Hamrun Spartans, substitution:off
- 89′Hamrun Spartans, yellow card:Foul
- 90′NSI Runavik, penalty goal:1–2Penalty
- 90+2′Hamrun Spartans, yellow card:Foul
- 90+6′Hamrun Spartans, substitution:E. Ernestoff
- 90+6′Hamrun Spartans, substitution:off
- 90+7′Hamrun Spartans, yellow card:Emmanuel ErnestFoul
- Full-time1 – 2
Lineups
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Top Performers
Goals
Assists
Match report
Hamrun Spartans vs NSI Runavik — the facts
NSI Runavik won 2–1 away against Hamrun Spartans (half-time 0–1).
Hamrun Spartans met NSI Runavik in the UEFA Europa Conference League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 16 July 2026, 17:30 UTC at Victor Tedesco Stadium. Referee: Jeremy Muller.
Team pages: Hamrun Spartans · NSI Runavik · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 43' Goal: Michał Przybylski (assist: Viljormur Davidsen) — 0–1
- 53' Goal: Ante Ćorić (assist: Eder) — 1–1
- 90' Goal (penalty): Petur Knudsen — 1–2
Starting line-ups
Hamrun Spartans (4-3-3)
NSI Runavik (5-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Hamrun Spartans 61%, the draw 22%, NSI Runavik 17%. It finished Hamrun Spartans 1–2 NSI Runavik.
Hamrun Spartans' rating edge carries it — Hamrun Spartans are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their cold finishing due to recover on top gives Hamrun Spartans a clear lead. The draw at 22% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Hamrun Spartans at 61%?
Hamrun Spartans sit 159 points higher on our strength rating — 1169 to 1010. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,547 such games. Hamrun Spartans sit -0.32 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,303 such games where the class table expected 36.1%. The 300 most similar past games finished 49–26–25.
Why only 61%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 61% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and NSI Runavik at 17%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,684. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
NSI Runavik have gained 77 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 11,973 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. NSI Runavik have 17 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Hamrun Spartans vs NSI Runavik final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Hamrun Spartans and NSI Runavik team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.