Milsami Orhei vs Velež — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- -5′Milsami Orhei, yellow card:Argument
- 39′Velež, yellow card:Aldin MešićFoul
- 40′Milsami Orhei, yellow card:Foul
- 43′Milsami Orhei, yellow card:Decio NetoFoul
- Half-time
- 56′Milsami Orhei, yellow card:William FonkeuFoul
- 63′Milsami Orhei, substitution:V. Luchitaoff
- 66′Milsami Orhei, yellow card:Foul
- 75′Milsami Orhei, substitution:S. IzountouemoioffP. Odubia
- 76′Velež, substitution:M. BesicoffD. Salcin
- 80′Milsami Orhei, second yellow card:Foul
- 83′Velež, goal:0–1assistA. Spahic
- 85′Velež, yellow card:Ajdin NukićFoul
- 86′Milsami Orhei, substitution:D. Sirbuoff
- 86′Milsami Orhei, substitution:C. SilcencooffA. Angelov
- Full-time0 – 1
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
Milsami Orhei
5-3-2
Velež
4-4-2
Top Performers
Goal
Assist
1 assistMatch report
Milsami Orhei vs Velež — the facts
Velež won 1–0 away against Milsami Orhei (half-time 0–0).
Milsami Orhei met Velež in the UEFA Europa Conference League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 16 July 2026, 17:00 UTC at Complexul Sportiv Raional. Referee: D. Nicolson.
Team pages: Milsami Orhei · Velež · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 80' Red card: Vasile Luchiță
- 83' Goal: A. Mesic (assist: A. Spahic) — 0–1
Starting line-ups
Milsami Orhei (5-3-2)
- 31 Filip Dujmović
- 30 Frederick Takyi
- 24 Dehninio Muringen
- 34 Decio Neto
- 4 A. Angelov
- 4 Aleksandar Angelov
- 29 Hennos Asmelash
- 11 Sorin Chele
- 5 Christopher Nwanze
- 33 William Fonkeu
- 14 Philip Odubia
- 28 Kabamba Kalabatama
Velež (4-4-2)
- 1 Faris Ribić
- 18 Said Duranović
- 18 Said Duranović
- 13 Anes Omerović
- 8 Ante Hrkać
- 7 Ajdin Nukić
- 11 A. Mesic
- 29 Andro Babić
- 6 Rafidine Abdullah
- 80 Nino Stojanović
- 11 Aldin Mešić
- 10 Đani Salčin
- 9 Armin Spahic
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Milsami Orhei 43%, the draw 30%, Velež 27%. It finished Milsami Orhei 0–1 Velež.
Level sides, only home ground separates them — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Milsami Orhei's 43% is home ground and little else. The draw at 30% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Milsami Orhei in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1217 to 1211. Sides this close won 45.6% of 14,382 home games (draw 26.5%, visitors 27.9%).
Why only 43%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 30% and Velež at 27%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Velež win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.1 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,002. The goals environment adds 3.5 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Velež have shed 63 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,504 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Velež have 11 fully-tracked matches with us — under our usual 25-game bar — but their strength rating is anchored to a conservative baseline from the long-run European club ratings list, which carries their wider competitive history into the number. Clubs from leagues we don't fully cover play too few tracked games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from published long-run club ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Milsami Orhei vs Velež final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Milsami Orhei and Velež team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.