Linfield vs Kalju Nomme — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 11′Linfield, goal:1–0assistA. Frizzell
- 12′Linfield, yellow card:Foul
- 26′Linfield, red card:Violent conduct
- 27′Kalju Nomme, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 27′Kalju Nomme, goal:1–1
- Half-time1 – 1
- 46′Linfield, substitution:offD. Wells
- 46′Linfield, substitution:offA. Frizzell
- 49′Linfield, goal:2–1assist
- 62′Kalju Nomme, yellow card:Foul
- 63′Kalju Nomme, substitution:off
- 65′Linfield, yellow card:Foul
- 73′Kalju Nomme, substitution:off
- 73′Kalju Nomme, substitution:D. Sotsugovoff
- 90′Kalju Nomme, goal:2–2assist
- Full-time2 – 2
Lineups
Starting lineups
Formation or player positions unavailable or inconsistent.
Linfield
5-3-2
Kalju Nomme
4-4-2
Top Performers
Goals
Assists
1 assistMatch report
Linfield vs Kalju Nomme — the facts
Linfield and Kalju Nomme drew 2–2 (half-time 1–1).
Linfield met Kalju Nomme in the UEFA Europa Conference League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 16 July 2026, 18:45 UTC at Windsor Park. Referee: Jacob Karlsen.
Team pages: Linfield · Kalju Nomme · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 11' Goal: Ethan McGee (assist: A. Frizzell) — 1–0
- 26' Red card: Ethan McGee
- 27' Goal: Oleksandr Musolitin — 1–1
- 49' Goal: Kieran Offord (assist: Matthew Fitzpatrick) — 2–1
- 90' Goal: Mihhail Orlov (assist: Roko Vukušić) — 2–2
Starting line-ups
Linfield (5-3-2)
- 1 Chris Johns
- 33 Darragh Leahy
- 15 Ben Hall
- 5 Chris Shields
- 5 C. Shields
- 4 Ryan Nolan
- 27 Ethan McGee
- 8 Kyle McClean
- 10 Adam Frizzell
- 16 Dylan Wells
- 29 Matthew Fitzpatrick
- 7 Kirk Millar
Kalju Nomme (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Linfield 55%, the draw 27%, Kalju Nomme 18%. It finished Linfield 2–2 Kalju Nomme.
Linfield's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Linfield are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Linfield's 55%. The draw at 27% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Linfield at 55%?
Linfield sit 114 points higher on our strength rating — 1269 to 1155. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,547 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 52–23–25.
Why only 55%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 55% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and Kalju Nomme at 18%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Kalju Nomme win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.2 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,002. The goals environment adds 3.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Linfield have shed 72 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,504 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Linfield vs Kalju Nomme final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Linfield and Kalju Nomme team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.