Linfield vs 16.07.26 18:452 – 2Full TimeAgg: 2 – 3
Kalju Nomme — UEFA Europa Conference League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Linfield vs Kalju Nomme — the facts
Linfield and Kalju Nomme drew 2–2 (half-time 1–1).
Linfield met Kalju Nomme in the UEFA Europa Conference League (1st Qualifying Round). Kick-off was Thursday, 16 July 2026, 18:45 UTC at Windsor Park. Referee: Jacob Karlsen.
Team pages: Linfield · Kalju Nomme · UEFA Europa Conference League
Key moments
- 11' Goal: Ethan McGee (assist: A. Frizzell) — 1–0
- 26' Red card: Ethan McGee
- 27' Goal: Oleksandr Musolitin — 1–1
- 49' Goal: Kieran Offord (assist: Matthew Fitzpatrick) — 2–1
- 90' Goal: Mihhail Orlov (assist: Roko Vukušić) — 2–2
Starting line-ups
Linfield (5-3-2)
- 1 Christopher Johns
- 33 Darragh Leahy
- 15 Ben Hall
- 5 C. Shields
- 5 Chris Shields
- 4 Ryan Nolan
- 27 Ethan McGee
- 8 Kyle McClean
- 10 Adam Frizzell
- 16 Dylan Wells
- 29 Matthew Fitzpatrick
- 7 Kirk Millar
Kalju Nomme (4-4-2)
- 1 Henri Perk
- 22 Aleksandr Nikolajev
- 46 Roko Vukušić
- 50 Maksim Podholjuzin
- 78 Danyil Mashchenko
- 59 Bogdan Vastsuk
- 20 Modou Tambedou
- 8 Oleksandr Musolitin
- 26 Rommi Siht
- 21 Tiago Baptista
- 17 Enrique Lotar
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Linfield 55%, the draw 27%, Kalju Nomme 18%. It finished Linfield 2–2 Kalju Nomme.
Linfield's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Linfield are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Linfield's 55%. The draw at 27% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Linfield at 55%?
Linfield sit 114 points higher on our strength rating — 1269 to 1155. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,547 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 52–23–25.
Why only 55%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 55% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and Kalju Nomme at 18%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Kalju Nomme win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.2 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,002. The goals environment adds 3.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Linfield have shed 72 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,504 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Linfield vs Kalju Nomme final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Linfield and Kalju Nomme team pages or the UEFA Europa Conference League page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Linfield vs Kalju Nomme?
Linfield and Kalju Nomme drew 2–2 (half-time 1–1).
›Who scored in Linfield vs Kalju Nomme?
Ethan McGee (11') for Linfield; Oleksandr Musolitin (27') for Kalju Nomme; Kieran Offord (49') for Linfield; Mihhail Orlov (90') for Kalju Nomme.
›Where can I watch Linfield vs Kalju Nomme highlights?
This page carries the full match report, stats and lineups for Linfield vs Kalju Nomme; goal clips are added as soon as official highlights are available.
›What is the head-to-head record between Linfield and Kalju Nomme?
Linfield and Kalju Nomme have met 1 time — 0 wins for Linfield, 1 win for Kalju Nomme and 0 draws.