Stoke City vs Swansea — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsStoke City FCYouTubeMatch Events
- 10′Stoke City, goal:1–0assist
- 22′Swansea, goal:1–1assist
- 36′Stoke City, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 1
- 46′Stoke City, substitution:off
- 53′Swansea, yellow card:Foul
- 55′Swansea, substitution:off
- 65′Swansea, substitution:off
- 65′Swansea, substitution:off
- 65′Swansea, substitution:off
- 66′Swansea, goal:1–2assist
- 70′Stoke City, substitution:off
- 70′Stoke City, substitution:off
- 70′Stoke City, substitution:off
- 84′Swansea, substitution:off
- 86′Swansea, yellow card:Foul
- 90+1′Swansea, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 2
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Videos
Player Ratings
Stoke City
Swansea
Match report
Idah strikes late as Swansea come from behind to sink Stoke City
Stoke City opened their Championship campaign with a 2-1 defeat to Swansea, having led at half-time before conceding twice in the second period. The result leaves Mark Robins' side without a point after their opening fixture, while Swansea moved to six in the table under Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Stoke made the early running and were rewarded in the tenth minute when Eric-Junior Bocat converted a chance created by Tomáš Rigo to put the hosts ahead. Swansea responded within the half, Joseph Okopu levelling in the 23rd minute from a Žan Vipotnik assist to leave the sides level, 1-1, at the break.
The decisive moment came in the 66th minute, when Adam Idah turned home a Joshua Tymon delivery to give Swansea the lead they would not relinquish. Stoke pushed for an equaliser but could not find a way through, with Swansea's second-half resolve enough to see out the win and take all three points back with them.
Idah scored the winning goal and finished with a rating of 7.3, the highest of any player on the pitch, while Tymon's assist for the decisive strike also earned him praise with a 7.2 mark.
Swansea controlled the ball for 59% of the match, reflecting their greater composure in seeing out the win after falling behind early on.
Swansea won 2–1 away against Stoke City (half-time 1–1).
Stoke City met Swansea in the Championship (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Saturday, 15 August 2026, 14:00 UTC at bet365 Stadium. Referee: Oliver Langford.
Team pages: Stoke City · Swansea · Championship
Key moments
- 10' Goal: Eric Bocat (assist: Tomáš Rigo) — 1–0
- 22' Goal: Joseph Opoku (assist: Žan Vipotnik) — 1–1
- 66' Goal: Adam Idah (assist: Josh Tymon) — 1–2
Starting line-ups
Stoke City (4-2-3-1)
Swansea (4-1-4-1)
- 22 Lawrence Vigouroux
- 14 Josh Tymon
- 23 Stephen Welsh
- 5 Ben Cabango (c)
- 26 Filip Lissah
- 4 Jay Fulton
- 49 Moussa Yeo
- 6 Marko Stamenić
- 8 Elijah Just
- 30 Joseph Opoku
- 9 Žan Vipotnik
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Stoke City 35%, the draw 32%, Swansea 33%. It finished Stoke City 1–2 Swansea.
Home ground outweighs Swansea's rating edge — Swansea are the stronger side on our strength rating, but home ground gives Stoke City the lean. The draw at 32% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Stoke City at 35%?
Home ground, against the rating. Swansea sit 97 points higher on our strength rating — 1403 to 1500. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 32.9% of 10,505 such games.
Why only 35%?
Because Swansea are the stronger side on our strength rating. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Stoke City's column. Across 10,563 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,356 games vs 44.9% across all 99,031 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 32%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,785. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Swansea are missing 2 regular starters — Cameron Burgess, Gonçalo Franco — about 24% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Stoke City vs Swansea final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Stoke City 1–2 Swansea. Explore more on the Stoke City and Swansea team pages or the Championship page.