HighlightsSky Sports FootballYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow1 clip- 38′Millwall, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Bolton, substitution:off
- 55′Millwall, substitution:off
- 60′Bolton, substitution:off
- 60′Bolton, substitution:off
- 65′Millwall, substitution:off
- 65′Millwall, substitution:off
- 75′Bolton, yellow card:Foul
- 75′Bolton, substitution:off
- 76′Bolton, substitution:off
- 81′Millwall, substitution:off
- 83′Millwall, goal:2–0assist
- 86′Bolton, red card:Violent conduct
- 86′Millwall, red card:Violent conduct
- 88′Millwall, goal:3–0assist
- 90′Millwall, goal:4–0
- Full-time4 – 0
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Videos
Player Ratings
Millwall
Bolton
Match report
Millwall rout ten-man Bolton 4-0 at The Den
Millwall thrashed Bolton 4-0 in a Championship fixture at The Den, moving into the seventh position in the table as their opponents remained stuck in twenty-first. Caleb Taylor opened the scoring in the 38th minute, assisted by Jenson Metcalfe, and Millwall took a 1-0 lead into half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The contest turned decisively in the closing stages. Lyndon Dykes doubled the lead in the 83rd minute with an assist from Zakariya Lovelace, before Joshua Sheehan and Jenson Metcalfe were both sent off in the 86th minute. Millwall capitalised immediately, with Dykes adding his second, assisted by Zak Norton Sturge, in the 88th minute, and Camiel Neghli completing the scoring in second-half stoppage time to make it 4-0.
Millwall dominated for long spells despite having less of the ball, managing 12 shots to Bolton's 13 while holding just 39% possession themselves. The home side were also sharper in front of goal, registering five shots on target compared to Bolton's four, and their four second-half goals reflected a team that pressed home its advantage once the visitors were reduced to ten men.
Dykes scored twice in the closing ten minutes to finish with a rating of 8.79, capping a decisive attacking display alongside a goal apiece for Taylor and Neghli.
Bolton held 61% of the possession yet still shipped four goals, underlining how little control of the ball translated into control of the match.
Millwall beat Bolton 4–0 (half-time 1–0).
Millwall met Bolton in the Championship (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Saturday, 5 September 2026, 14:00 UTC at The Den. Referee: Will Finnie.
Team pages: Millwall · Bolton · Championship
Key moments
- 38' Goal: Caleb Taylor (assist: Jenson Metcalfe) — 1–0
- 83' Goal: Lyndon Dykes (assist: Zak Lovelace) — 2–0 · Watch Lyndon Dykes's goal video (83')
- 86' Red card: Josh Sheehan
- 86' Red card: Jenson Metcalfe
- 88' Goal: Lyndon Dykes (assist: Zak Sturge) — 3–0
- 90' Goal: Camiel Neghli — 4–0
Starting line-ups
Millwall (4-2-3-1)
Bolton (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Millwall 65%, the draw 25%, Bolton 10%. It finished Millwall 4–0 Bolton.
Millwall's rating gap decides it — Millwall are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and their cold finishing due to recover on top gives Millwall a clear lead. The draw at 25% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Millwall at 65%?
Millwall sit 241 points higher on our strength rating — 1556 to 1315. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,974 such games. Millwall sit -0.31 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.9% of 2,413 such games where the class table expected 36.3%. The 300 most similar past games finished 62–21–17.
Why only 65%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Millwall's column. Across 10,911 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,403 games vs 44.9% across all 99,727 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,731. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Millwall average 6 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 241 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Bolton are newly promoted — game 5 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Millwall vs Bolton final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Millwall 4–0 Bolton. Explore more on the Millwall and Bolton team pages or the Championship page.