QPR vs Middlesbrough — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMiddlesbrough FCYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow1 clip- 14′QPR, substitution:off
- 20′Middlesbrough, goal:0–1assist
- 39′QPR, substitution:off
- Half-time0 – 1
- 55′Middlesbrough, substitution:off
- 55′Middlesbrough, substitution:off
- 58′Middlesbrough, yellow card:Foul
- 67′QPR, substitution:off
- 67′QPR, substitution:off
- 67′QPR, substitution:off
- 71′Middlesbrough, substitution:off
- 72′Middlesbrough, substitution:off
- 76′Middlesbrough, yellow card:Foul
- 84′Middlesbrough, substitution:off
- 90+6′QPR, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time0 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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QPR
Middlesbrough
Match report
Lankshear strike gives Middlesbrough win at QPR
Middlesbrough claimed a 1-0 victory away to QPR in a Championship fixture at Loftus Road, with William Lankshear's first-half goal proving decisive in this round five encounter.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The visitors took the lead in the 20th minute when Lankshear converted after being set up by Callum Brittain, and that score at the interval, 0-1, held all the way through to full time. QPR pushed for an equaliser but could not find a way past Middlesbrough's defence.
QPR had the greater share of possession and won considerably more corners, but Middlesbrough matched them for shots and edged them on target, reflecting a tightly contested match despite the finishing scoreline. QPR were also the more disciplined side in terms of fouls committed, though they picked up one yellow card to Middlesbrough's two.
Radek Vítek was the top-rated performer on the pitch with a rating of 7.95, while Brittain also impressed, laying on the only goal of the game for Lankshear.
QPR's dominance in corners, 12 to 3, contrasted with a scoreline that ultimately went against them.
Middlesbrough won 1–0 away against QPR (half-time 0–1).
QPR met Middlesbrough in the Championship (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Saturday, 5 September 2026, 14:00 UTC at Loftus Road Stadium. Referee: Andy Madley.
Team pages: QPR · Middlesbrough · Championship
Key moments
- 20' Goal: Will Lankshear (assist: Callum Brittain) — 0–1 · Watch Will Lankshear's goal video (20')
Starting line-ups
QPR (4-4-2)
Middlesbrough (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave QPR 25%, the draw 34%, Middlesbrough 41%. It finished QPR 0–1 Middlesbrough.
Middlesbrough's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Middlesbrough are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their control of the ball plus the early-season home fade on top give Middlesbrough the lean. The draw at 34% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Middlesbrough at 41%?
Middlesbrough sit 111 points higher on our strength rating — 1465 to 1577. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,132 such games. Middlesbrough hold 10 more possession points (59 to 49 in recent games) across a 111-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,650 such games where the class table expected 41.3%. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims QPR's column. Across 10,911 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 33–30–37.
Why only 41%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 41% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 34% and QPR at 25%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the QPR win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,731. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Middlesbrough are winless in their last 18 league games away from home (7 draws, 11 defeats), a run going back to August 2016. A long road winless run reads like a warning, but the receipts don't treat it as one: visitors on a 6+ league run without an away win won 25.7% of 13,621 games vs 24.9% class-expected — slightly more, not fewer. Middlesbrough have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the QPR vs Middlesbrough final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from QPR 0–1 Middlesbrough. Explore more on the QPR and Middlesbrough team pages or the Championship page.