West Brom vs 10.10.26 11:300 – 1Full Time
Birmingham — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsEFLYouTubeMatch Events
- 8′West Brom, yellow card:Argument
- 31′Birmingham, yellow card:Foul
- 41′Birmingham, penalty goal:0–1Penalty
- Half-time0 – 1
- 55′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 69′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 69′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 70′West Brom, substitution:off
- 75′Birmingham, yellow card:Foul
- 79′Birmingham, yellow card:Foul
- 79′West Brom, substitution:off
- 80′West Brom, substitution:off
- 85′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 85′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 89′West Brom, yellow card:Argument
- 89′Birmingham, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time0 – 1
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West Brom
Birmingham
Match report
Priske penalty gives Birmingham win at West Brom
Birmingham won 1-0 at The Hawthorns on Matchday 9 of the Championship, with August Priske's first-half penalty the only goal of a contest that was closer than the scoreline suggested over the full 90 minutes. The result lifted Chris Davies's side from 11th to seventh in the table.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The decisive moment arrived in the 41st minute, when Priske converted from the spot to make it 0-1. West Brom had been the slightly more dominant side with the ball, holding 54 per cent of possession, but they could not find an equaliser after the interval, and the half-time score stood to the end.
Birmingham were the more incisive team, putting seven of their 15 shots on target to West Brom's two from 14 attempts. Birmingham also had more corners, nine to seven, and committed more fouls, 12 to eight. They collected four yellow cards to the home side's two, though nobody was sent off.
The defeat dropped West Brom from seventh to eighth, and left them level on 14 points with Birmingham. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Birmingham a 27% chance of winning. West Brom's next game is not in the data supplied.
Max O'Leary was the highest-rated performer on the pitch with 8.05, despite finishing on the losing side. Phil Neumann was Birmingham's best-rated player with 7.71.
Birmingham put seven of their 15 shots on target, compared with two from 14 for West Brom.
Birmingham won 1–0 away against West Brom (half-time 0–1).
West Brom met Birmingham in the Championship (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Saturday, 10 October 2026, 11:30 UTC at The Hawthorns. Referee: Gavin Ward.
Team pages: West Brom · Birmingham · Championship
Key moments
- 41' Goal (penalty): August Priske — 0–1
Starting line-ups
West Brom (4-4-2)
Birmingham (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave West Brom 46%, the draw 27%, Birmingham 27%. It finished West Brom 0–1 Birmingham.
Level sides, West Brom's control of the ball swings it — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and West Brom's control of the ball gives West Brom the lean. The draw at 27% is what level sides usually produce.
Why West Brom in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1429 to 1447. Sides this close won 42.6% of 14,793 home games (draw 27.1%, visitors 30.3%). West Brom hold 8 more possession points (54 to 46 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.2% of 5,133 games, vs 43.9% when styles were level.
Why only 46%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 25.4% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,451 games vs 44.6% across all 101,016 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, level with the Birmingham win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,118. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Birmingham won 3 of the last 6 meetings with West Brom. The record is 3 wins for Birmingham, 2 draws and 1 win for West Brom. These were 6 Championship games played at both grounds between 14 September 2022 and 10 February 2026. Latest meeting: 10 February 2026 — Birmingham 0–0 West Brom. In 5,637 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.1%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the West Brom vs Birmingham final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from West Brom 0–1 Birmingham. Explore more on the West Brom and Birmingham team pages or the Championship page.