HighlightsEFLYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow1 clip- 5′Derby, yellow card:Foul
- 9′Derby, goal:1–0assist
- 15′Wrexham, substitution:off
- Half-time1 – 0
- 52′Derby, yellow card:Foul
- 64′Wrexham, substitution:off
- 64′Wrexham, substitution:off
- 71′Wrexham, yellow card:Foul
- 72′Derby, substitution:off
- 72′Derby, substitution:off
- 74′Derby, yellow card:Foul
- 84′Derby, substitution:off
- 84′Derby, substitution:off
- 85′Wrexham, substitution:off
- 85′Wrexham, substitution:off
- 88′Wrexham, goal:1–1assist
- 90+1′Wrexham, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 1
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Derby
Wrexham
Match report
Derby denied late as Wrexham snatch 1-1 draw at Pride Park
Derby and Wrexham drew 1-1 in a Championship matchday nine fixture at Pride Park Stadium, with Oliver Rathbone's goal in the 88th minute cancelling out Samuel Szmodics' early opener. The result left Derby 23rd on six points and Wrexham 15th on 11.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Derby made the ideal start. Szmodics scored in the ninth minute after a pass from Mohammed Fuseini, and the hosts took that 1-0 lead into the interval. John Eustace's side had gone into the game having lost three of their last five, so the early goal gave them something to protect.
Wrexham dominated the ball thereafter, finishing with 55% possession, 13 shots to 10 and eight corners to one. Derby, though, put four shots on target to three and held on until the closing stages. Then Kieffer Moore supplied the assist and Rathbone equalised, earning Phil Parkinson's side a point.
Kieffer Moore set up Wrexham's late equaliser for Oliver Rathbone and earned the highest rating of the match, 8.0.
Wrexham won eight corners to Derby's one, a measure of the pressure they applied as they chased the game.
Derby and Wrexham drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
Derby met Wrexham in the Championship (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Saturday, 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Pride Park Stadium. Referee: Matt Donohue.
Team pages: Derby · Wrexham · Championship
Key moments
- 9' Goal: Sammie Szmodics (assist: Mohammed Fuseini) — 1–0 · Watch Sammie Szmodics's goal video (9')
- 88' Goal: Oliver Rathbone (assist: Kieffer Moore) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
Derby (4-2-3-1)
Wrexham (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Derby 36%, the draw 32%, Wrexham 32%. It finished Derby 1–1 Wrexham.
Home ground outweighs Wrexham's rating edge — Wrexham are the stronger side on our strength rating, but home ground gives Derby the lean. The draw at 32% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Derby at 36%?
Home ground, against the rating. Wrexham sit 68 points higher on our strength rating — 1385 to 1453. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 10,361 such games.
Why only 36%?
Because Wrexham are the stronger side on our strength rating. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 25.4% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,451 games vs 44.6% across all 101,016 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, level with the Wrexham win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,284. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Derby have shed 68 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,577 such games vs 33.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Out: Matthew Clarke, an important player, Charles Taylor, Patrick Agyemang, and Derry Murkin, on provisional ratings, and Jacob Widell Zetterström, not yet rated. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Derby vs Wrexham final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Derby 1–1 Wrexham. Explore more on the Derby and Wrexham team pages or the Championship page.