HighlightsPreston North End FCYouTubeMatch Events
- 15′Preston, yellow card:Foul
- 19′Millwall, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′Preston, substitution:off
- 59′Preston, substitution:off
- 66′Millwall, substitution:off
- 66′Millwall, substitution:off
- 71′Millwall, yellow card:Foul
- 72′Preston, substitution:off
- 74′Millwall, substitution:off
- 79′Millwall, goal:0–1assist
- Full-time0 – 1
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Preston
Millwall
Match report
Neghli's late goal gives Millwall win at Preston
Millwall won 1-0 at Preston in the Championship on matchday 9, with Camiel Neghli's goal in the 79th minute settling a match that had stayed goalless through a tight first half and much of the second. The result ended Millwall's run of 4 games without a win and left Preston still searching for a first league victory since going into the game with four points.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Little separated the sides for most of the afternoon at Deepdale Stadium. Preston had slightly more attempts, 12 shots to 11, but only one of them tested the goalkeeper, while Millwall found the target three times. Both sides won four corners, and neither side had a player sent off.
The breakthrough came when Luke Cundle supplied the pass and Neghli finished to make it 1-0 to the visitors in the 79th minute. Preston, who had 46 per cent of the possession, were unable to find an equaliser in the closing stages, and Millwall saw out the remaining time to claim the points.
Millwall's win lifted them from 12th to 9th in the table, on 14 points, while Preston stayed 24th with four points from nine games.
Camiel Neghli scored the only goal of the match, converting Luke Cundle's assist in the 79th minute, and was the top-rated performer on the pitch with 8.18. Jordan Storey was the best-rated Preston player at 7.16.
Preston managed only one shot on target from their 12 attempts, compared with three from Millwall's 11.
Millwall won 1–0 away against Preston (half-time 0–0).
Preston met Millwall in the Championship (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Saturday, 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Deepdale Stadium. Referee: Benjamin Speedie.
Team pages: Preston · Millwall · Championship
Key moments
- 79' Goal: Camiel Neghli (assist: Luke Cundle) — 0–1
Starting line-ups
Preston (3-4-1-2)
Millwall (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Preston 25%, the draw 25%, Millwall 50%. It finished Preston 0–1 Millwall.
Millwall's rating gap outweighs Preston's home ground — Millwall are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and a weak Championship home advantage on top gives Millwall the lean. The draw at 25% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Millwall at 50%?
Millwall sit 179 points higher on our strength rating — 1296 to 1475. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.9% of 6,670 such games. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 25.4% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,451 games vs 44.6% across all 101,016 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 30–25–45.
Why only 50%?
Preston sit -0.39 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,497 such games where the class table expected 35.9%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,118. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points. The bounce-back factor takes 1.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Casper De Norre and Joshua Coburn, important players. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Millwall won 2 of the last 6 meetings with Preston. The record is 2 wins for Millwall, 4 draws and 0 wins for Preston. These were 6 Championship games played at both grounds between 21 October 2023 and 28 February 2026. Latest meeting: 28 February 2026 — Preston 0–2 Millwall. In 5,637 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.1%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Preston vs Millwall final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Preston 0–1 Millwall. Explore more on the Preston and Millwall team pages or the Championship page.