Match report
West Brom come from behind to beat Wrexham 2-1 at the Racecourse Ground
West Brom came from a goal down to win 2-1 at Wrexham in a Championship matchday 10 fixture at the Racecourse Ground. The match was goalless at half-time, and the hosts took the lead in the 64th minute before the visitors turned it around with two goals in five minutes late on.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Kieffer Moore put Wrexham ahead after 64 minutes, finishing a chance created by Oliver Rathbone. West Brom drew level in the 79th minute through Isaac Price, and Aune Heggebø completed the turnaround in the 84th minute, with Price supplying the assist. Wrexham found no response in the closing stages.
West Brom controlled much of the ball, finishing with 58% possession to Wrexham's 42%, and won the corner count 7 to 3. The shot count was close, with Wrexham managing eight attempts to West Brom's nine, and four of the hosts' efforts were on target against three from the visitors.
The result ended a run of 3 games without a win for West Brom and lifted them from 10th to 4th, on 17 points from 10 matches. Wrexham stayed on 11 points and slipped from 15th to 16th. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given West Brom a 26% chance of winning. Both sides are at home next on Saturday 17 October in the Championship, Wrexham against Preston and West Brom against Blackburn.
Isaac Price scored the equaliser and set up Heggebø for the winner, earning a rating of 9.0 as the match's top performer. Moore's goal for Wrexham earned him a rating of 8.02.
West Brom had 58% of the possession, yet only one shot separated the sides, nine to eight in the visitors' favour.
West Brom won 2–1 away against Wrexham (half-time 0–0).
Wrexham met West Brom in the Championship (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Tuesday, 13 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Racecourse Ground. Referee: Thomas Kirk.
Team pages: Wrexham · West Brom · Championship
Key moments
- 64' Goal: Kieffer Moore (assist: Oliver Rathbone) — 1–0
- 79' Goal: Isaac Price — 1–1
- 84' Goal: Aune Heggebø (assist: Isaac Price) — 1–2
Starting line-ups
Wrexham (5-3-2)
West Brom (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Wrexham 43%, the draw 31%, West Brom 26%. It finished Wrexham 1–2 West Brom.
Home advantage gives Wrexham a slight edge — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, the usual home advantage puts Wrexham in front at 43%, though home sides in the Championship tend to under-perform, which helps West Brom a little. The draw sits at 31%, up from a starting point of 28% thanks to the Championship's usual draw rate and the two teams' typical-scoring recent games.
Why Wrexham in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1453 to 1417. Sides this close won 45.8% of 13,716 home games (draw 27.7%, visitors 26.6%).
Why only 43%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 25.4% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,462 games vs 44.6% across all 101,160 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the West Brom win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,315. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: George Thomason, an important player, and Max Cleworth and Nathan Broadhead, rotation players. Doubtful: Matthew James, a rotation player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Wrexham vs West Brom final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Wrexham 1–2 West Brom. Explore more on the Wrexham and West Brom team pages or the Championship page.