Birmingham vs Preston — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBirmingham City Football ClubYouTubeMatch Events
- 24′Preston, substitution:off
- 34′Birmingham, goal:1–0assist
- 45′Birmingham, goal:2–0assist
- 45′Birmingham, goal:3–0assist
- Half-time3 – 0
- 46′Preston, substitution:off
- 47′Preston, yellow card:Foul
- 50′Birmingham, yellow card:Foul
- 56′Preston, second yellow card:Foul
- 61′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 61′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 61′Preston, substitution:off
- 75′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 75′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 76′Birmingham, goal:4–0assist
- 84′Birmingham, substitution:off
- Full-time4 – 0
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Birmingham
Preston
Match report
Birmingham brush aside Preston 4-0 as Priske scores twice before the break
Birmingham beat Preston 4-0 at St. Andrew's Stadium in a Championship matchday 10 fixture on Tuesday evening, a result that lifted them from 10th to fourth in the table. Preston, who started the night 24th, stayed there on four points from their ten games.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Liam Millar broke the deadlock in the 34th minute, converting a delivery from Patrick Roberts to make it 1-0. The game was effectively settled either side of the interval: August Priske scored at 45+2, set up by Alexander Cochrane, and added a second at 45+4 from Jay Stansfield's pass, leaving Preston 3-0 down at half-time.
Preston's afternoon worsened in the 56th minute when Stanley Mills was sent off, and from that point they scored nothing and conceded once more. Max Bird made it 4-0 in the 74th minute, completing the scoring against ten men. Birmingham controlled 76% of possession and had 18 shots to Preston's six.
Birmingham next play at home to QPR on Saturday 17 October in the Championship, while Preston travel to Wrexham in the same competition that day.
August Priske scored twice in the space of two first-half stoppage-time minutes and earned a rating of 8.82, the highest of any player on the pitch.
Birmingham had five shots on target to Preston's one, a gap that reflected how little threat the visitors posed to the home goal.
Birmingham beat Preston 4–0 (half-time 3–0).
Birmingham met Preston in the Championship (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Tuesday, 13 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at St. Andrew's Stadium. Referee: Sam Allison.
Team pages: Birmingham · Preston · Championship
Key moments
- 34' Goal: Liam Millar (assist: Patrick Roberts) — 1–0
- 45' Goal: August Priske (assist: Jay Stansfield) — 2–0
- 45' Goal: August Priske (assist: Alex Cochrane) — 3–0
- 56' Red card: Stanley Mills
- 76' Goal: Demarai Gray (assist: Max Bird) — 4–0
Starting line-ups
Birmingham (4-2-3-1)
Preston (3-4-2-1)
- 1 Daniel Iversen
- 16 Andrew Hughes
- 14 Jordan Storey
- 24 Odeluga Offiah
- 11 Thierry Small
- 15 Jordan Thompson (c)
- 27 Léo Leroy
- 17 Stanley Mills
- 20 Liam Gibbs
- 7 Alfie Devine
- 10 Callum Lang
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Birmingham 64%, the draw 20%, Preston 16%. It finished Birmingham 4–0 Preston.
Strength gap puts Birmingham clearly in front — We give Birmingham 64% mainly because our strength rating has them 171 points higher, 1460 to 1289, though Preston's cold finishing streak pulls slightly the other way, as streaks like this have tended to bounce back. The draw sits at 20%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, with the Championship's higher draw rate offset by that finishing streak and typical scoring in both sides' recent games.
Why Birmingham at 64%?
Birmingham sit 171 points higher on our strength rating — 1460 to 1289. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.8% of 6,576 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 60–24–16.
Why only 64%?
Preston sit -0.46 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.8% of 2,521 such games where the class table expected 35.9%. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 25.4% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,462 games vs 44.6% across all 101,160 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw only 20%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,166. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points. The bounce-back factor takes 1.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Alistair McCann, a rotation player. Doubtful: Harrison Clarke, an important player, and Johnny Kenny, on a provisional rating. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Birmingham won 4 of the last 6 meetings with Preston. The record is 4 wins for Birmingham, 0 draws and 2 wins for Preston. These were 6 Championship games played at both grounds between 3 September 2022 and 22 April 2026. Latest meeting: 22 April 2026 — Birmingham 2–1 Preston. In 5,182 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 43.9%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Birmingham vs Preston final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Birmingham 4–0 Preston. Explore more on the Birmingham and Preston team pages or the Championship page.