West Ham vs Southampton — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsSouthampton FCYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow4 clips- 2′Southampton, goal:0–1
- 11′Southampton, goal:0–2
- 18′West Ham, yellow card:Foul
- 24′West Ham, goal:1–2assist
- 34′Southampton, goal:1–3
- Half-time1 – 3
- 46′West Ham, substitution:off
- 51′Southampton, yellow card:Foul
- 63′West Ham, substitution:off
- 63′West Ham, substitution:off
- 64′Southampton, substitution:off
- 73′Southampton, substitution:off
- 74′West Ham, substitution:off
- 75′West Ham, substitution:off
- 78′Southampton, yellow card:Foul
- 89′Southampton, substitution:off
- 90′West Ham, goal:2–3assist
- Full-time2 – 3
Lineups
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Key Stats
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West Ham
Southampton
Match report
Southampton hold off late West Ham rally to win at London Stadium
Southampton won 3-2 at West Ham in a Championship matchday 12 contest at London Stadium, building a three-goal cushion before the break and then having to survive a stoppage-time scare. The visitors, who began the day fourth, finished it second.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Kuryu Matsuki gave Southampton the lead in the second minute, and James Bree doubled it in the 11th. West Ham pulled one back in the 24th minute when Kyle Walker-Peters scored from a Divine Mukasa assist, but Lewis Dobbin restored the two-goal advantage in the 34th to make it 3-1 at half-time.
The second half brought no goals until the 90+3 minute, when Tomáš Souček converted a Taty Castellanos assist to set up a tense finish. West Ham had been the more dominant side with 56 per cent of possession, 28 shots to 15 and 14 corners to six, but the equaliser did not come.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Southampton a 19% chance of winning. Both sides are at home on Saturday 31 October in the Championship: West Ham against West Brom, Southampton against QPR.
Daniel Peretz earned the highest rating on the pitch, 8.58, for Southampton as they held on through West Ham's late pressure. Dobbin scored the third goal and was the next best-rated visitor on 7.94.
West Ham had 14 corners to Southampton's six, a measure of the pressure they applied without turning it into an equaliser.
Southampton won 3–2 away against West Ham (half-time 1–3).
West Ham met Southampton in the Championship (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at London Stadium. Referee: Michael Salisbury.
Team pages: West Ham · Southampton · Championship
Key moments
- 2' Goal: Kuryu Matsuki — 0–1 · Watch Kuryu Matsuki's goal video (2')
- 11' Goal: James Bree — 0–2 · Watch James Bree's goal video (11')
- 24' Goal: Kyle Walker-Peters (assist: Divine Mukasa) — 1–2 · Watch Kyle Walker-Peters's goal video (24')
- 34' Goal: Lewis Dobbin — 1–3 · Watch Lewis Dobbin's goal video (34')
- 90' Goal: Tomáš Souček (assist: Taty Castellanos) — 2–3
Starting line-ups
West Ham (4-4-2)
Southampton (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave West Ham 57%, the draw 24%, Southampton 19%. It finished West Ham 2–3 Southampton.
West Ham's stronger rating gives them a clear lead — We give West Ham 57%, mainly because they sit 131 points higher on our strength rating, 1710 to 1580, though Championship home sides generally under-perform, which nudges things slightly towards Southampton. The draw sits at 24%, starting from 25% and pulled down by the high-scoring recent games of both teams, partly offset by the Championship's usual draw rate.
Why West Ham at 57%?
West Ham sit 131 points higher on our strength rating — 1710 to 1580. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,325 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 65–17–18.
Why only 57%?
Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.4% norm). Championship homes won 42.9% of 8,488 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,375. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
West Ham scored +0.57 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,154 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.1% vs 42.2% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Doubtful: Flynn Downes and Cyle Larin, important players. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the West Ham vs Southampton final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Kuryu Matsuki's goal against West Ham (2').
- Watch James Bree's goal against West Ham (11').
- Watch Kyle Walker-Peters's goal against Southampton (24').
- Watch Lewis Dobbin's goal against West Ham (34').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from West Ham 2–3 Southampton. Explore more on the West Ham and Southampton team pages or the Championship page.