Sheffield Utd vs Derby — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsEFLYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 17′Derby, yellow card:Foul
- 37′Derby, goal:0–1
- Half-time0 – 1
- 50′Derby, yellow card:Foul
- 57′Sheffield Utd, substitution:off
- 57′Sheffield Utd, substitution:off
- 64′Sheffield Utd, yellow card:Foul
- 66′Derby, second yellow card:Foul
- 67′Sheffield Utd, substitution:off
- 67′Sheffield Utd, substitution:off
- 73′Derby, substitution:off
- 73′Derby, substitution:off
- 73′Derby, substitution:off
- 75′Sheffield Utd, yellow card:Foul
- 79′Sheffield Utd, goal:1–1assist
- 81′Derby, substitution:off
- 81′Sheffield Utd, substitution:off
- 90+4′Derby, yellow card:Foul
- 90+5′Derby, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
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Sheffield Utd
Derby
Match report
Sheffield Utd rescue point against ten-man Derby at Bramall Lane
Sheffield Utd and Derby drew 1-1 at Bramall Lane in a Championship matchday 12 fixture, with Patrick Bamford's 79th-minute equaliser denying the visitors a first win in eight games. Derby had led since the 37th minute and played the last 24 minutes with ten men.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Bobby Clark gave Derby the lead on 37 minutes, and they went into the interval 1-0 ahead despite being second best for long spells. Sheffield Utd had the bulk of the ball and chances, yet found no way through before the break.
The game turned on 66 minutes, when Dion Sanderson was sent off, with Derby still 1-0 up. Sheffield Utd pressed for the equaliser and got it 13 minutes later, Romelle Donovan providing the assist for Bamford to level at 1-1. Derby held on for a point that left them 23rd, while Sheffield Utd stayed 11th on 16 points.
Sheffield Utd host Wrexham in the Championship on Friday 30 October, while Derby travel to Millwall the following day.
Jacob Widell Zetterström earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch at 8.06 for Derby, whose defence held out for 79 minutes before Bamford's goal. Bamford, who scored the equaliser, was rated 7.97.
Sheffield Utd had 25 shots to Derby's 11, ten of them on target to four, yet needed until the 79th minute to find a way past the visitors.
Sheffield Utd and Derby drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
Sheffield Utd met Derby in the Championship (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 11:30 UTC at Bramall Lane. Referee: Stephen Martin.
Team pages: Sheffield Utd · Derby · Championship
Key moments
- 37' Goal: Bobby Clark — 0–1 · Watch Bobby Clark's goal video (37')
- 66' Red card: Dion Sanderson
- 79' Goal: Patrick Bamford (assist: Romelle Donovan) — 1–1 · Watch Patrick Bamford's goal video (79')
Starting line-ups
Sheffield Utd (4-2-3-1)
Derby (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Sheffield Utd 55%, the draw 26%, Derby 19%. It finished Sheffield Utd 1–1 Derby.
Sheffield Utd's stronger rating sets the clear lead — We give Sheffield Utd 55% mainly because they sit 86 points higher on our strength rating, 1442 to 1356, though home sides in the Championship generally do less well than usual, which pulls slightly towards Derby. The draw sits at 26%, starting from 25% for a gap this size and nudged up by the Championship's usual draw rate.
Why Sheffield Utd at 55%?
Sheffield Utd sit 86 points higher on our strength rating — 1442 to 1356. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,325 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 52–30–18.
Why only 55%?
Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.4% norm). Championship homes won 42.9% of 8,488 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,159. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Sheffield Utd scored +0.34 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,154 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.1% vs 42.2% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Derby have shed 63 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.0% of 10,359 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Sheffield Utd vs Derby final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Bobby Clark's goal against Sheffield Utd (37').
- Watch Patrick Bamford's goal against Derby (79').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Sheffield Utd 1–1 Derby. Explore more on the Sheffield Utd and Derby team pages or the Championship page.

