HighlightsEFLYouTubeMatch Events
- 13′Burnley, substitution:off
- 39′Burnley, goal:0–1assist
- 45′Lincoln, goal:1–1assist
- Half-time1 – 1
- 46′Burnley, substitution:off
- 49′Lincoln, goal:2–1assist
- 57′Lincoln, goal:3–1
- 59′Burnley, substitution:off
- 67′Lincoln, goal:4–1assist
- 67′Burnley, yellow card:Argument
- 73′Lincoln, yellow card:Foul
- 74′Burnley, substitution:off
- 74′Burnley, substitution:off
- 81′Lincoln, substitution:off
- 81′Lincoln, substitution:off
- 81′Lincoln, substitution:off
- 84′Burnley, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 89′Lincoln, substitution:off
- 89′Lincoln, substitution:off
- Full-time4 – 1
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Lincoln
Burnley
Match report
Lincoln hit four after the break to sink Burnley at Sincil Bank
Lincoln beat Burnley 4-1 at Sincil Bank in the Championship on matchday 12, with all four of their goals coming either side of the interval after they had fallen behind. The result ended a run of 4 games without a win for the home side and lifted them from 19th to 15th in the table.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Burnley led after 39 minutes, Andréas Hountondji finishing from Lucas Pires's pass. Lincoln equalised in first-half stoppage time, Ben House scoring in the 45+3 minute from an Andrei Coubiș assist, and the match turned within four minutes of the restart.
Mikkel Ladefoged put Lincoln 2-1 up in the 49th minute from Reeco Hackett-Fairchild's pass, and Dominic Jefferies made it 3-1 in the 57th. Ladefoged added his second in the 67th, set up by House, to complete the scoring. Burnley stayed 22nd, on 8 points from 12 games.
Both sides are at home next Saturday, 31 October, in the Championship: Lincoln face Birmingham and Burnley host Portsmouth.
Mikkel Ladefoged scored twice, in the 49th and 67th minutes, and earned the top rating of 8.55. Ben House added a goal and an assist, rated 8.21.
Lincoln had 21 shots to Burnley's 8, though Burnley's expected goals figure of 2.37 was higher than Lincoln's 1.94.
Lincoln beat Burnley 4–1 (half-time 1–1).
Lincoln met Burnley in the Championship (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Sincil Bank. Referee: Thomas Parsons.
Team pages: Lincoln · Burnley · Championship
Key moments
- 39' Goal: Andréas Hountondji (assist: Lucas Pires) — 0–1
- 45' Goal: Ben House (assist: Andrei Coubiș) — 1–1
- 49' Goal: Mikkel Ladefoged (assist: Reeco Hackett-Fairchild) — 2–1
- 57' Goal: Dominic Jefferies — 3–1
- 67' Goal: Mikkel Ladefoged (assist: Ben House) — 4–1
Starting line-ups
Lincoln (4-2-3-1)
Burnley (4-2-3-1)
- 37 Grégoire Coudert
- 23 Lucas Pires
- 44 Igor Júlio
- 18 Hjalmar Ekdal
- 2 Kyle Walker (c)
- 5 Reo Hatate
- 3 Max Alleyne
- 12 Dastan Satpaev
- 29 Josh Laurent
- 19 Largie Ramazani
- 27 Armando Broja
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Lincoln 48%, the draw 29%, Burnley 23%. It finished Lincoln 4–1 Burnley.
Lincoln's strength edge gives a slight lean — We give Lincoln 48% mainly because our strength rating has them a shade stronger, 1502 to 1459, on top of the usual home advantage, though home sides in the Championship tend to under-perform, which pulls a little towards Burnley. The draw sits at 29%, up from a usual 27% because Championship games draw slightly more often and both sides' recent games average 2.7 goals.
Why Lincoln at 48%?
Lincoln sit 42 points higher on our strength rating — 1502 to 1459. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.1% of 11,069 such games.
Why only 48%?
Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.4% norm). Championship homes won 42.9% of 8,488 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Burnley win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,297. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
A 16-point possession gap between near-equal sides is unusual. Gaps this extreme are too rare to receipt — around 389 measured games, under our 300-game floor — so it's noted at 0 points. Lincoln sit -0.49 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Lincoln vs Burnley final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Lincoln 4–1 Burnley. Explore more on the Lincoln and Burnley team pages or the Championship page.