Stoke City vs Bristol City — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBristol CityYouTubeMatch Events
- 21′Stoke City, substitution:off
- 31′Stoke City, yellow card:Foul
- 43′Bristol City, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 62′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 62′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 69′Stoke City, substitution:off
- 71′Bristol City, yellow card:Foul
- 81′Stoke City, substitution:off
- 87′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 88′Bristol City, substitution:off
- Full-time
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Stoke City
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Match report
Stoke City and Bristol City play out goalless draw at bet365 Stadium
Stoke City and Bristol City finished 0-0 at the bet365 Stadium in a Championship fixture on Matchday 12, with neither side able to find a goal. The hosts had 63% of the possession to 37% for the visitors, and they took 11 shots to 8, but only one of those efforts reached the target and the visitors failed to register a single shot on target.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The numbers suggest a contest of few clear chances. Stoke's expected goals figure was 0.71 against 0.79 for Bristol City, so the visitors created marginally better openings despite seeing far less of the ball. Corners were close, with five for Stoke and six for Bristol City, while the away side committed 13 fouls to the hosts' seven and collected two yellow cards to Stoke's one. There were no red cards.
The point lifted Stoke from seventh to ninth, on 20 points from 12 games, while Bristol City moved from 15th to 14th with 15 points. Stoke arrived having won four of their last five and are next at home to Preston on Saturday 31 October; Bristol City, who had lost three of their previous five, travel to Bolton on the same day, also in the Championship.
Ben Wilmot was the highest-rated performer on the pitch with 7.14, on a day without goals or assists. Bradley Collins, with 7.00, was the best-rated player on the Bristol City side.
Stoke City held 63% of the possession yet mustered only one shot on target, and Bristol City had none.
Stoke City and Bristol City drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
Stoke City met Bristol City in the Championship (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at bet365 Stadium. Referee: James Bell.
Team pages: Stoke City · Bristol City · Championship
Starting line-ups
Stoke City (3-4-3)
Bristol City (3-5-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Stoke City 43%, the draw 30%, Bristol City 27%. It finished Stoke City 0–0 Bristol City.
Home advantage edges Stoke in front, draw live — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, 1388 to 1379, the usual home advantage gives Stoke City 43%, though weaker home form across the Championship pulls back towards Bristol City. The draw sits at 30%, up from a starting point of 27.4% because draws run a little more often in this competition.
Why Stoke City in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1388 to 1379. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,522 home games (draw 27.4%, visitors 26.6%).
Why only 43%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.4% norm). Championship homes won 42.9% of 8,488 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Stoke City scored +0.77 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.7% of 1,643 games, vs 27.8% against normal finishing.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Bristol City win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.4%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,297. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Stoke City have gained 81 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.0% of 11,927 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Stoke City have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Stoke City vs Bristol City final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Stoke City 0–0 Bristol City. Explore more on the Stoke City and Bristol City team pages or the Championship page.