HighlightsSouthampton FCYouTubeMatch Events
- 11′Southampton, goal:1–0
- Half-time1 – 0
- 55′Southampton, goal:2–0assist
- 59′QPR, substitution:off
- 59′QPR, substitution:off
- 66′Southampton, goal:3–0assist
- 68′QPR, goal:3–1assist
- 72′QPR, yellow card:Foul
- 75′Southampton, substitution:off
- 76′QPR, substitution:off
- 76′QPR, substitution:off
- 83′QPR, yellow card:Foul
- 86′QPR, yellow card:Foul
- 86′Southampton, substitution:off
- 87′Southampton, substitution:off
- 87′QPR, substitution:off
- 90+2′Southampton, substitution:Barnaby Williamsoff
- 90+2′Southampton, substitution:off
- 90+5′Southampton, goal:4–1
- Full-time4 – 1
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Southampton
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Match report
Southampton beat QPR 4-1 at St. Mary's Stadium to stay second
Southampton beat QPR 4-1 at St. Mary's Stadium in a Championship Matchday 13 fixture, a result that lifted them to 27 points and kept them second in the table. Kuryu Matsuki gave the home side the lead in the 11th minute, and they took that 1-0 advantage into the interval.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Cameron Bragg doubled the lead in the 55th minute from a Ryan Manning assist, and Manning set up another in the 66th, this time for Keven Schlotterbeck, to make it 3-0. Southampton had 19 shots to QPR's 12, nine of them on target against two, and won nine corners to four.
QPR pulled one back two minutes after the third, Richard Kone scoring in the 68th minute from a Karamoko Dembélé assist. Welington restored the three-goal margin in the 90+5 minute to complete the scoring. QPR stayed ninth on 20 points, seven behind Southampton. Both sides are in Championship action on Tuesday, Southampton away to West Brom and QPR at home to Burnley.
Bragg scored Southampton's second goal and earned a rating of 8.2, the highest of any player. Manning provided the assists for both Bragg's and Schlotterbeck's goals.
Southampton put nine of their 19 shots on target, while QPR managed just two from their 12 attempts.
Southampton beat QPR 4–1 (half-time 1–0).
Southampton met QPR in the Championship (Regular Season - 13). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC at St. Mary's Stadium. Referee: Tim Robinson.
Team pages: Southampton · QPR · Championship
Key moments
- 11' Goal: Kuryu Matsuki — 1–0
- 55' Goal: Cameron Bragg (assist: Ryan Manning) — 2–0
- 66' Goal: Keven Schlotterbeck (assist: Ryan Manning) — 3–0
- 68' Goal: Richard Kone (assist: Karamoko Dembélé) — 3–1
- 90+5' Goal: Welington — 4–1
Starting line-ups
Southampton (4-2-3-1)
QPR (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Southampton 66%, the draw 21%, QPR 13%. It finished Southampton 4–1 QPR.
Southampton's strength gap drives a clear lead — We give Southampton 66% mainly because our strength rating puts them 164 points higher, 1596 to 1432, though home sides in the Championship tend to fall short of the usual home edge, which nudges things slightly towards QPR. The draw sits at 21%, starting from the usual 20% for a gap this size, lifted a little by the Championship's typical draw rate.
Why Southampton at 66%?
Southampton sit 164 points higher on our strength rating — 1596 to 1432. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.9% of 7,073 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 70–16–14.
Why only 66%?
Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.4% norm). Championship homes won 42.9% of 8,500 games vs 44.6% across all 108,210 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.8%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,247. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Southampton have averaged 8 percentage points more possession than QPR in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Southampton are unbeaten in their last 17 home Championship games: 12 wins and 5 draws. The run began on 21 January 2026. It covers all 6 home Championship games this season. Last recorded home league defeat: 17 January 2026 — Southampton 1–2 Hull City. Latest home league result: 17 October 2026 — Southampton 0–0 Bolton. Across 16,141 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 55.4%, compared with 54.5% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Southampton vs QPR final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Southampton 4–1 QPR. Explore more on the Southampton and QPR team pages or the Championship page.