Bolton vs Bristol City — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBristol CityYouTubeMatch Events
- 11′Bristol City, yellow card:Foul
- 13′Bristol City, goal:0–1assist
- 16′Bolton, goal:1–1assist
- 30′Bolton, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 1
- 55′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 55′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 57′Bolton, goal:2–1assist
- 65′Bolton, substitution:off
- 65′Bolton, substitution:off
- 67′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 78′Bolton, substitution:off
- 78′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 78′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 84′Bristol City, goal:2–2assist
- 88′Bolton, substitution:off
- 88′Bolton, substitution:Max Lottoff
- 90+3′Bristol City, goal:2–3assist
- Full-time2 – 3
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Bolton
Bristol City
Match report
Bristol City snatch late win at Bolton after Twine strike in stoppage time
Bristol City won 3-2 at Bolton in the Championship on Matchday 13, Scott Twine scoring in the 90+3 minute to complete a comeback after the visitors had trailed in the second half. The result ended a run of four games without a win for Bristol City and lifted them from 15th to 14th.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Dom Ballard put the visitors ahead in the 13th minute, set up by Jason Knight, but Bolton were level three minutes later when Josh Sheehan scored from Thierry Gale's pass. The home side then went in front in the 57th minute, Samuel Dalby finishing after a delivery from Atsuki Ito.
Sam Bell levelled in the 84th minute from Cameron Pring's assist, and Twine won it deep into stoppage time, with Jed Wallace providing the final pass. Bolton held 65% of the possession and had 19 shots to 14, but Bristol City put nine on target to Bolton's six and stayed in contention throughout.
Bolton stayed 19th on 14 points, now four points behind Bristol City, who moved to 18 points. Bolton travel to Charlton on Tuesday in the Championship, while Bristol City host Wolves the following day.
Josh Sheehan scored Bolton's equaliser in the 16th minute and earned a rating of 8.2, level with Bristol City's Sam Bell, who scored the 84th-minute leveller.
Bolton won the corner count 11 to 4 but still lost, with Bristol City putting nine of their 14 shots on target.
Bristol City won 3–2 away against Bolton (half-time 1–1).
Bolton met Bristol City in the Championship (Regular Season - 13). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC at Toughsheet Community Stadium. Referee: Bobby Madley.
Team pages: Bolton · Bristol City · Championship
Key moments
- 13' Goal: Dom Ballard (assist: Jason Knight) — 0–1
- 16' Goal: Josh Sheehan (assist: Thierry Gale) — 1–1
- 57' Goal: Samuel Dalby (assist: Atsuki Ito) — 2–1
- 84' Goal: Sam Bell (assist: Cameron Pring) — 2–2
- 90+3' Goal: Scott Twine (assist: Jed Wallace) — 2–3
Starting line-ups
Bolton (4-2-3-1)
Bristol City (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Bolton 32%, the draw 31%, Bristol City 37%. It finished Bolton 2–3 Bristol City.
Bristol City's stronger rating gives them a slight edge — Bristol City sit 67 points higher on our strength rating, 1382 to 1315, and their recent scoring below the quality of their chances adds a little, since cold streaks like this have tended to bounce back. The draw sits at 31%, up from a usual 29% for a gap this size, mainly because draws run higher in the Championship.
Why Bristol City at 37%?
Bristol City sit 67 points higher on our strength rating — 1382 to 1315. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 11,127 such games. Bristol City sit -0.37 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.1% of 1,669 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.4% norm). Championship homes won 42.9% of 8,500 games vs 44.6% across all 108,210 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 37–30–33.
Why only 37%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 37% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 31% and Bolton at 32%.
Why the draw at 31%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,247. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points. The bounce-back factor adds 1.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Bristol City won 3 of the last 6 meetings with Bolton. The record is 3 wins for Bristol City, 2 draws and 1 win for Bolton. These were 6 Championship games played at both grounds between 7 November 2015 and 12 January 2019. Latest meeting: 12 January 2019 — Bristol City 2–1 Bolton. In 6,096 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.2%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Bolton vs Bristol City final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Bolton 2–3 Bristol City. Explore more on the Bolton and Bristol City team pages or the Championship page.