HighlightsDerby County Football ClubYouTubeMatch Events
- 3′Millwall, goal:1–0assist
- 10′Millwall, goal:2–0assist
- 17′Millwall, goal:3–0assist
- 24′Millwall, yellow card:Time wasting
- 32′Millwall, yellow card:Foul
- 37′Derby, substitution:off
- 45+1′Derby, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time3 – 0
- 57′Derby, substitution:off
- 67′Millwall, substitution:off
- 68′Millwall, substitution:off
- 71′Derby, yellow card:Foul
- 74′Millwall, substitution:off
- 74′Millwall, substitution:off
- 78′Derby, substitution:off
- 78′Derby, substitution:off
- 78′Derby, substitution:off
- 78′Millwall, substitution:off
- 84′Millwall, goal:4–0assist
- 87′Derby, goal:4–1
- 89′Millwall, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time4 – 1
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Millwall
Derby
Match report
Millwall hit Derby for four as Lisbie scores twice at The Den
Millwall beat Derby 4-1 at The Den in the Championship on Matchday 13, building a three-goal lead inside 17 minutes and holding it comfortably. The result lifted the hosts from 14th to 12th, while Derby stayed 23rd.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Kyrell Lisbie opened the scoring in the third minute, converting Lyndon Dykes's assist, and added a second in the 10th minute from Caleb Taylor's pass. Luke Cundle made it 3-0 in the 17th minute after Camiel Neghli set him up, and the hosts went in at the break with that advantage.
The second half was far quieter until the closing stages. Jake Cooper headed Millwall's fourth in the 84th minute from Mihailo Ivanović's assist, and Filip Bilbija pulled one back for Derby three minutes later in the 87th. Millwall ended a run of three games without a win, while Derby are now without a win in nine games.
Millwall travel to Birmingham on Tuesday in the Championship, the same day Derby host Norwich.
Kyrell Lisbie scored twice inside the opening 10 minutes and earned the match's highest rating, 8.38. Luke Cundle added the third goal and was rated 8.2.
Millwall had 22 shots to Derby's 13, with nine on target to four.
Millwall beat Derby 4–1 (half-time 3–0).
Millwall met Derby in the Championship (Regular Season - 13). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC at The Den. Referee: Anthony Backhouse.
Team pages: Millwall · Derby · Championship
Key moments
- 3' Goal: Kyrell Lisbie (assist: Lyndon Dykes) — 1–0
- 10' Goal: Kyrell Lisbie (assist: Caleb Taylor) — 2–0
- 17' Goal: Luke Cundle (assist: Camiel Neghli) — 3–0
- 84' Goal: Jake Cooper (assist: Mihailo Ivanović) — 4–0
- 87' Goal: Filip Bilbija — 4–1
Starting line-ups
Millwall (4-2-3-1)
Derby (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Millwall 54%, the draw 28%, Derby 18%. It finished Millwall 4–1 Derby.
Millwall's stronger rating gives them a slight lean — We give Millwall 54% mainly because our strength rating has them 96 points higher, 1458 to 1362, though home advantage running weak across the Championship pulls a little towards Derby. The draw sits at 28%, up from a usual 25% for a gap this size, nudged higher by the Championship's draw rate and both sides' recent games averaging 2.6 goals.
Why Millwall at 54%?
Millwall sit 96 points higher on our strength rating — 1458 to 1362. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,367 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 51–34–15.
Why only 54%?
Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.4% norm). Championship homes won 42.9% of 8,500 games vs 44.6% across all 108,210 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Derby win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,357. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points. The goals environment adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Dion Sanderson, Charlie Taylor, Sondre Langås, and Matthew Clarke, important players, and Lewis Travis, Patrick Agyemang, and Derry Murkin, rotation players. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Millwall won 3 of the last 6 meetings with Derby. The record is 3 wins for Millwall, 3 draws and 0 wins for Derby. These were 6 Championship games played at both grounds between 6 November 2021 and 10 March 2026. Millwall are unbeaten in the last 7 meetings between the sides (4 wins, 3 draws), a run going back to March 2021. Latest meeting: 10 March 2026 — Millwall 1–0 Derby. In 5,562 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 44.0%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Millwall vs Derby final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Millwall 4–1 Derby. Explore more on the Millwall and Derby team pages or the Championship page.