Birmingham vs Millwall — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsEFLYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 1′Birmingham, goal:1–0
- 16′Birmingham, goal:2–0assist
- 29′Birmingham, goal:3–0assist
- Half-time3 – 0
- 46′Millwall, substitution:off
- 46′Millwall, substitution:off
- 55′Millwall, yellow card:Foul
- 56′Birmingham, yellow card:Foul
- 71′Millwall, substitution:off
- 71′Millwall, substitution:off
- 73′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 73′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 73′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 80′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 86′Birmingham, substitution:off
- 86′Millwall, substitution:off
- Full-time3 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
Birmingham
Millwall
Match report
Birmingham score three before the half-hour to beat Millwall
Birmingham beat Millwall 3-0 in the Championship at St. Andrew's Stadium on matchday 14, with all three goals arriving inside the opening half-hour. The hosts were ahead after one minute, when Alex Cochrane scored, and had put the contest beyond doubt long before the interval.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Max Bird doubled the lead in the 16th minute, finishing from a Jhon Solis assist. Jay Stansfield made it 3-0 in the 29th minute, converting a pass from Bird. Millwall, managed by Alexander Neil, never found a way back, and the second half passed without a goal or a booking-heavy flashpoint.
The win lifted Birmingham from seventh to third in the table, on 26 points, eight clear of 13th-placed Millwall, who stayed on 18. It followed a 3-1 victory at Lincoln for Chris Davies's side, while Millwall had beaten Derby 4-1 in their previous game.
Birmingham host Swansea in the Championship on Saturday 7 November, the same day Millwall travel to West Brom.
Max Bird scored once and set up another, earning the top rating of 8.45 for his part in the first two goals of the night. Stansfield, who finished the third from Bird's pass, was rated 8.2.
Birmingham put eight of their 19 shots on target, while Millwall managed only two from their 15 attempts.
Birmingham beat Millwall 3–0 (half-time 3–0).
Birmingham met Millwall in the Championship (Regular Season - 14). Kick-off was Tuesday, 3 November 2026, 20:00 UTC at St. Andrew's Stadium. Referee: David Webb.
Team pages: Birmingham · Millwall · Championship
Key moments
- 1' Goal: Alex Cochrane — 1–0 · Watch Alex Cochrane's goal video (1')
- 16' Goal: Max Bird (assist: Jhon Solis) — 2–0 · Watch Max Bird's goal video (16')
- 29' Goal: Jay Stansfield (assist: Max Bird) — 3–0 · Watch Jay Stansfield's goal video (29')
Starting line-ups
Birmingham (4-2-3-1)
Millwall (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Birmingham 45%, the draw 28%, Millwall 27%. It finished Birmingham 3–0 Millwall.
Home advantage gives Birmingham a slight lean — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, Birmingham's usual home advantage puts them in front at 45%, though Championship home sides tend to under-perform, which pulls a little towards Millwall. The draw sits at 28%, starting from 27.5% and nudged up by the Championship's usual draw rate, slightly offset by both teams' 3.0-goal recent games.
Why Birmingham in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1496 to 1471. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,583 home games (draw 27.5%, visitors 26.6%).
Why only 45%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.3% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,511 games vs 44.6% across all 108,367 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Millwall win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,303. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Birmingham are unbeaten in their last 9 home Championship games: 5 wins and 4 draws. The run began on 12 April 2026. It covers all 6 home Championship games this season. Last recorded home league defeat: 3 April 2026 — Birmingham 0–1 Blackburn. Latest home league result: 17 October 2026 — Birmingham 3–0 QPR. Across 16,165 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 55.4%, compared with 54.5% expected from team strength. Doubtful: James Beadle, a star player and Birmingham's first-choice goalkeeper. In the past games we have checked, a missing first-choice goalkeeper made no measurable difference, so this stays at 0 points. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Birmingham vs Millwall final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Alex Cochrane's goal against Millwall (1').
- Watch Max Bird's goal against Millwall (16').
- Watch Jay Stansfield's goal against Millwall (29').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Birmingham 3–0 Millwall. Explore more on the Birmingham and Millwall team pages or the Championship page.