West Brom vs Southampton — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsSouthampton FCYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 22′West Brom, penalty goal:1–0Penalty
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′West Brom, substitution:off
- 53′Southampton, goal:1–1
- 61′West Brom, yellow card:Foul
- 62′Southampton, yellow card:Tonda EckertDissent
- 66′West Brom, yellow card:Not retreating
- 71′Southampton, substitution:off
- 71′West Brom, substitution:off
- 71′West Brom, substitution:off
- 77′Southampton, yellow card:Foul
- 84′West Brom, substitution:off
- 88′Southampton, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
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West Brom
Southampton
Match report
West Brom and Southampton share the points at The Hawthorns
West Brom and Southampton drew 1-1 at The Hawthorns in a Championship Matchday 14 fixture on Tuesday night. Southampton, who had gone into the game second in the table, ended the evening top after the point took them to 28, three clear of sixth-placed West Brom on 25.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The hosts took the lead in the 22nd minute when Isaac Price scored from the penalty spot to make it 1-0, and that was how the first half finished. West Brom were the more threatening side before the break, and they ended the night with 17 shots to Southampton's 10.
Southampton levelled eight minutes after the restart. Samuel Edozie scored in the 53rd minute to make it 1-1, and neither side found a winner. West Brom held 53 per cent of the possession, with five of their shots on target to three for the visitors.
Both sides are in action again on Saturday 7 November. West Brom host Millwall in the Championship, while Southampton travel to face Preston in the same competition.
Isaac Price gave West Brom the lead from the penalty spot and earned the top rating of the evening at 7.54. Samuel Edozie, who equalised for Southampton, was next at 7.45.
West Brom outshot Southampton by 17 shots to 10 but could not turn that advantage into a win.
West Brom and Southampton drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
West Brom met Southampton in the Championship (Regular Season - 14). Kick-off was Tuesday, 3 November 2026, 20:00 UTC at The Hawthorns. Referee: Josh Smith.
Team pages: West Brom · Southampton · Championship
Key moments
- 22' Goal (penalty): Isaac Price — 1–0 · Watch Isaac Price's goal video (22')
- 53' Goal: Samuel Edozie — 1–1 · Watch Samuel Edozie's goal video (53')
Starting line-ups
West Brom (4-4-2)
Southampton (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave West Brom 30%, the draw 31%, Southampton 39%. It finished West Brom 1–1 Southampton.
Southampton's stronger rating gives them a slight lean — Southampton sit 140 points higher on our strength rating, 1606 to 1466, and home advantage running weak across the Championship adds a little more, so we give them 39% to West Brom's 30%. The draw starts at 28% for a gap this size and rises to 31%, lifted by the Championship's usual draw rate and both sides' recent games averaging 2.5 goals.
Why Southampton at 39%?
Southampton sit 140 points higher on our strength rating — 1606 to 1466. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,862 such games. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.3% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,511 games vs 44.6% across all 108,367 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 34–29–37.
Why only 39%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 39% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 31% and West Brom at 30%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the West Brom win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,383. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Southampton scored +0.39 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,221 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.0% vs 42.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Doubtful: Cyle Larin, an important player, and Caspar Jander, a rotation player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the West Brom vs Southampton final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Isaac Price's goal against Southampton (22').
- Watch Samuel Edozie's goal against West Brom (53').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from West Brom 1–1 Southampton. Explore more on the West Brom and Southampton team pages or the Championship page.