Match Events
- 5′Cadiz, yellow card:Foul
- 8′Almeria, yellow card:Foul
- 13′Almeria, goal:1–0assist
- 25′Cadiz, goal:1–1assist
- 32′Almeria, yellow card:Foul
- 35′Almeria, yellow card:Francisco Javier García PimientaDissent
- 36′Almeria, goal:2–1assist
- 44′Almeria, goal:3–1assist
- Half-time3 – 1
- 46′Cadiz, substitution:off
- 46′Cadiz, substitution:off
- 46′Cadiz, substitution:off
- 54′Cadiz, substitution:off
- 63′Almeria, substitution:off
- 64′Almeria, substitution:off
- 67′Cadiz, yellow card:Foul
- 76′Almeria, substitution:off
- 76′Almeria, substitution:off
- 80′Cadiz, substitution:off
- 80′Almeria, substitution:off
- 90′Cadiz, own goal:3–2Own goal
- Full-time3 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Player Ratings
Almeria
Cadiz
Match report
Almeria vs Cadiz — the facts
Almeria beat Cadiz 3–2 (half-time 3–1).
Almeria met Cadiz in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Sunday, 6 September 2026, 19:00 UTC at UD Almeria Stadium. Referee: Gorka Etayo.
Team pages: Almeria · Cadiz · Segunda División
Key moments
- 13' Goal: Javi Muñoz (assist: Brian Cipenga) — 1–0
- 25' Goal: Javi Castro (assist: Antonio Cordero) — 1–1
- 36' Goal: Miguel de la Fuente (assist: Brian Cipenga) — 2–1
- 44' Goal: Léo Baptistão (assist: Brian Cipenga) — 3–1
- 90' Goal (own goal): Daijiro Chirino — 3–2
Starting line-ups
Almeria (4-2-3-1)
Cadiz (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Almeria 54%, the draw 27%, Cadiz 19%. It finished Almeria 3–2 Cadiz.
Almeria's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Almeria are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Almeria's 54%. The draw at 27% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Almeria at 54%?
Almeria sit 185 points higher on our strength rating — 1608 to 1423. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,784 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 56–24–20.
Why only 54%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Almeria's column. Across 10,972 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Cadiz win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,753. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Cadiz come into this after a busy window — 11 arrivals, 17 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Last 6 between them: Almeria 3 wins, 2 draws, Cadiz 1 win. Most recently Cadiz 1–2 Almeria, 7 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 43.1% of 5078 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Almeria vs Cadiz final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Almeria and Cadiz team pages or the Segunda División page.