Match report
Eibar holds off Eldense fightback to climb to second in Segunda
Eibar came away from the Nuevo Pepico Amat with a 2-1 win over Eldense in Segunda División matchday six, despite being second-best for large spells of possession. Jon Magunazelaia put the visitors ahead in the 29th minute, finishing off an assist from Aleix Garrido, and that goal stood up until half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Iván Gil doubled Eibar's advantage in the 63rd minute, converting a chance created by Ander Madariaga to make it 0-2. Eldense responded through Justin Smith in the 76th minute, cutting the deficit to a single goal, but the hosts could not find a leveller before the final whistle.
Eldense dominated territory with 64% of possession and forced 24 shots to Eibar's 8, yet only six of those attempts tested the goalkeeper compared with four from the visitors. Eibar made their limited chances count, moving to 15 points and second in the table, while Eldense remained down in 17th on five points.
Justin Smith scored Eldense's lone goal and earned the highest rating on the pitch at 8.2, giving the hosts a foothold in an otherwise one-sided scoreline.
Eldense's 24 shots to Eibar's 8 underlined their territorial dominance, even though it yielded only a single goal.
Eibar won 2–1 away against Eldense (half-time 0–1).
Eldense met Eibar in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Saturday, 19 September 2026, 16:30 UTC at Nuevo Pepico Amat. Referee: Eder Mallo Fernandez.
Team pages: Eldense · Eibar · Segunda División
Key moments
- 29' Goal: Jon Magunazelaia (assist: Aleix Garrido) — 0–1
- 63' Goal: Iván Gil (assist: Ander Madariaga) — 0–2
- 76' Goal: Justin Smith — 1–2
Starting line-ups
Eldense (4-2-3-1)
Eibar (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Eldense 22%, the draw 26%, Eibar 52%. It finished Eldense 1–2 Eibar.
Eibar's rating gap outweighs Eldense's home ground — Eibar are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Eibar the lean. The draw at 26% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Eibar at 52%?
Eibar sit 215 points higher on our strength rating — 1463 to 1678. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge on the road won 52.0% of 6,097 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Eldense's column. Across 11,181 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 25–27–48.
Why only 52%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 52% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Eldense at 22%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,116. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Eldense are newly promoted — game 6 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen. Eibar won 3 of the last 4 meetings with Eldense. The record is 3 wins for Eibar, 0 draws and 1 win for Eldense. These were 4 Segunda División games played at both grounds between 28 August 2023 and 13 January 2025. Latest meeting: 13 January 2025 — Eldense 1–3 Eibar. In 5,643 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.1%. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Eldense vs Eibar final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Eldense 1–2 Eibar. Explore more on the Eldense and Eibar team pages or the Segunda División page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Eldense vs Eibar?
Eibar won 2–1 away against Eldense (half-time 0–1).
›Who scored in Eldense vs Eibar?
Jon Magunazelaia (29') for Eibar; Iván Gil (63') for Eibar; Justin Smith (76') for Eldense.
›Where can I watch Eldense vs Eibar highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Eldense 1–2 Eibar are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Eldense and Eibar?
Eldense and Eibar have met 4 times — 1 win for Eldense, 3 wins for Eibar and 0 draws.