AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid — Segunda División: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsLALIGA HYPERMOTIONYouTubeMatch Events
- 12′Valladolid, yellow card:Foul
- 31′AD Ceuta FC, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′AD Ceuta FC, substitution:off
- 46′AD Ceuta FC, substitution:offMawuli Kwame Mensah Vadze
- 46′AD Ceuta FC, substitution:off
- 53′Valladolid, goal:0–1assist
- 64′AD Ceuta FC, substitution:off
- 64′AD Ceuta FC, substitution:off
- 70′Valladolid, substitution:off
- 70′Valladolid, substitution:off
- 70′Valladolid, substitution:off
- 70′AD Ceuta FC, substitution:off
- 79′Valladolid, yellow card:Foul
- 82′Valladolid, substitution:off
- 85′AD Ceuta FC, yellow card:Argument
- 86′Valladolid, yellow card:Foul
- 87′Valladolid, second yellow card:Foul
- 89′Valladolid, substitution:off
- 90′AD Ceuta FC, goal:1–1assist
- 90+1′AD Ceuta FC, second yellow card:Foul
- 90+12′Valladolid, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 1
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AD Ceuta FC
Valladolid
Match report
AD Ceuta FC snatch late point against Valladolid after Latasa opener
AD Ceuta FC and Valladolid drew 1-1 in a Segunda División Matchday 6 fixture at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, the home side rescuing a point with a goal in the 90th minute. The result left Ceuta on one point from six games, still bottom of the four-place gap that separates them from Valladolid, who moved to five points.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The first half passed without a goal, the sides level at 0-0 at the break. Valladolid broke the deadlock in the 53rd minute, when Juanmi Latasa finished from a Julien Ponceau assist to make it 1-0 to the visitors.
Valladolid were reduced to ten men in the 87th minute when Álex Balboa was sent off, and Ceuta pressed for an equaliser. It arrived in the 90th minute as Carlos Hernández scored from Jordi Escobar's assist. Omar Sadik was then sent off for Ceuta in the 90+1 minute, leaving both sides with ten at the final whistle.
The point ended a run of five defeats in a row for Ceuta, though they are now without a win in six games. Valladolid, who had lost three of their previous five, remain 18th.
C. Okoro earned a rating of 7.7 for Ceuta, level with Valladolid's Álvaro Aceves on the same mark.
Valladolid had six of their 11 shots on target, double the three managed by Ceuta from 12 attempts.
AD Ceuta FC and Valladolid drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
AD Ceuta FC met Valladolid in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Sunday, 20 September 2026, 14:15 UTC at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. Referee: Saúl Ais.
Team pages: AD Ceuta FC · Valladolid · Segunda División
Key moments
- 53' Goal: Juanmi Latasa (assist: Julien Ponceau) — 0–1
- 87' Red card: Álex Balboa
- 90' Goal: Carlos Hernández (assist: Jordi Escobar) — 1–1
- 90+1' Red card: Omar Sadik
Starting line-ups
AD Ceuta FC (4-3-3)
Valladolid (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave AD Ceuta FC 39%, the draw 30%, Valladolid 31%. It finished AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Valladolid.
Level sides, home ground holds off Valladolid's cold finishing due to recover — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and AD Ceuta FC's 39% is home ground and little else. The draw at 30% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why AD Ceuta FC in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1482 to 1441. Sides this close won 45.6% of 14,695 home games (draw 26.5%, visitors 27.9%).
Why only 39%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Valladolid sit -0.42 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.4% of 1,378 games, vs 29.1% for visitors finishing normally. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims AD Ceuta FC's column. Across 11,218 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why the draw at 30%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,886. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
In our recorded league results, Valladolid are winless in their last 13 away games: 3 draws and 10 defeats. The run began on 31 January 2026. Last recorded away league win: 17 January 2026 — AD Ceuta FC 0–3 Valladolid. Latest recorded away league result: 30 August 2026 — Cadiz 1–1 Valladolid. Across 13,699 historical matches involving visitors with at least six consecutive winless away league games, those visitors won 25.8%, compared with 24.9% expected from team strength. AD Ceuta FC come into this after a busy window — 16 arrivals and 15 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336).
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Valladolid. Explore more on the AD Ceuta FC and Valladolid team pages or the Segunda División page.