AD Ceuta FC vs 20.09.26 14:151 – 1Full Time
Valladolid — Segunda División: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Ceuta snatch late equaliser against ten-man Valladolid
AD Ceuta FC and Valladolid shared the points in a 1-1 draw in Segunda División matchday six at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, a contest that stayed goalless until the second half turned dramatic. Valladolid broke the deadlock through Juanmi Latasa, assisted by Julien Ponceau, in the 53rd minute, and looked to be heading for the win for much of what followed.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The closing stages brought chaos. Valladolid's Álex Balboa was sent off in the 87th minute, and Ceuta's Omar Sadik followed him down the tunnel deep into stoppage time. Despite playing a man light for several minutes, Ceuta found a way through deep into added time when Carlos Hernández converted an assist from Jordi Escobar to level the score at 1-1, snatching a point at the death.
Valladolid had the better of the underlying numbers, out-shooting their hosts on target and enjoying more of the ball, yet it was Ceuta's late resilience with ten men that defined the outcome. The draw left Valladolid 18th in the table while Ceuta remained second from bottom after their sixth match of the campaign.
Julien Ponceau earned the night's top rating, setting up Latasa's opening goal for Valladolid.
Valladolid held the edge in shots on target, six to Ceuta's three, reflecting their greater threat in front of goal.
AD Ceuta FC and Valladolid drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
AD Ceuta FC met Valladolid in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Sunday, 20 September 2026, 14:15 UTC at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. Referee: Saul Ais Reig.
Team pages: AD Ceuta FC · Valladolid · Segunda División
Key moments
- 53' Goal: Juanmi Latasa (assist: Julien Ponceau) — 0–1
- 87' Red card: Álex Balboa
- 90+1' Red card: Omar Sadik
- 90+11' Goal: Carlos Hernández (assist: Jordi Escobar) — 1–1
Starting line-ups
AD Ceuta FC (4-3-3)
- 13 Guille Vallejo
- 3 José Matos
- 4 Albert Caparrós
- 6 Carlos Hernández
- 26 Arick Betancourt
- 32 Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro
- 17 Mawuli Mensah
- 20 Álex Meléndez
- 7 Alejandro Camacho Ramírez
- 8 Kuki
- 19 Edgar Sevikyan
Valladolid (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave AD Ceuta FC 39%, the draw 30%, Valladolid 31%. It finished AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Valladolid.
Level sides, home ground holds off Valladolid's cold finishing due to recover — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and AD Ceuta FC's 39% is home ground and little else. The draw at 30% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why AD Ceuta FC in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1482 to 1441. Sides this close won 45.6% of 14,695 home games (draw 26.5%, visitors 27.9%).
Why only 39%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Valladolid sit -0.42 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.4% of 1,378 games, vs 29.1% for visitors finishing normally. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims AD Ceuta FC's column. Across 11,218 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why the draw at 30%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,886. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
In our recorded league results, Valladolid are winless in their last 13 away games: 3 draws and 10 defeats. The run began on 31 January 2026. Last recorded away league win: 17 January 2026 — AD Ceuta FC 0–3 Valladolid. Latest recorded away league result: 30 August 2026 — Cadiz 1–1 Valladolid. Across 13,699 historical matches involving visitors with at least six consecutive winless away league games, those visitors won 25.8%, compared with 24.9% expected from team strength. AD Ceuta FC come into this after a busy window — 16 arrivals and 15 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336).
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Valladolid. Explore more on the AD Ceuta FC and Valladolid team pages or the Segunda División page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid?
AD Ceuta FC and Valladolid drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
›Who scored in AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid?
Juanmi Latasa (53') for Valladolid; Carlos Hernández (90+11') for AD Ceuta FC.
›Where can I watch AD Ceuta FC vs Valladolid highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Valladolid are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between AD Ceuta FC and Valladolid?
AD Ceuta FC and Valladolid have met 2 times — 0 wins for AD Ceuta FC, 2 wins for Valladolid and 0 draws.