Match Events
- 35′Nantes, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 49′Nantes, goal:0–1assist
- 52′Boulogne, goal:1–1assist
- 53′Boulogne, substitution:off
- 62′Nantes, substitution:off
- 62′Nantes, substitution:off
- 65′Boulogne, substitution:off
- 77′Boulogne, yellow card:Foul
- 82′Boulogne, substitution:off
- 82′Boulogne, substitution:off
- 82′Boulogne, substitution:off
- 83′Nantes, substitution:off
- 83′Nantes, substitution:off
- 90′Nantes, substitution:off
- 90+3′Boulogne, red card:
- 90+6′Boulogne, yellow card:Foul
- 90+6′Boulogne, yellow card:Dissent
- 90+7′Nantes, penalty goal:1–2Penalty
- Full-time1 – 2
Lineups
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Boulogne
Nantes
Match report
Nantes snatch late penalty to beat ten-man Boulogne
Nantes won 2-1 at Boulogne in Ligue 2 on Matchday 7 at the Stade de la Libération, Thomas Robinet converting a penalty in the 90+7 minute after the hosts had been reduced to ten men. The goalless first half gave way to three goals after the break, the last of them settling a contest that had looked headed for a draw.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Ignatius Ganago put Nantes ahead in the 49th minute, finishing from an Ibrahima Sissoko assist. Boulogne needed only three minutes to respond, Nolan Binet equalising in the 52nd minute from a Noah Fatar assist. The match then stayed level until stoppage time, with neither side managing more than two shots on target.
Mathieu Mion was sent off for Boulogne in the 90+3 minute, and four minutes later Robinet scored from the spot to give Nantes the lead. The defeat left Boulogne without a win in 14 games, and the result lifted Nantes from 18th to 15th on seven points, two ahead of Boulogne, who dropped to 17th.
Ganago scored the opening goal and was the top-rated performer on 7.77, ahead of Binet on 7.19, who equalised for Boulogne.
Nantes won six corners to Boulogne's one, even though the shot count was close at 11 to 10 in their favour.
Nantes won 2–1 away against Boulogne (half-time 0–0).
Boulogne met Nantes in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Saturday, 19 September 2026, 12:00 UTC at Stade de la Libération. Referee: Karim Abed.
Key moments
- 49' Goal: Ignatius Ganago (assist: Ibrahima Sissoko) — 0–1
- 52' Goal: Nolan Binet (assist: Noah Fatar) — 1–1
- 90+3' Red card: Mathieu Mion
- 90+7' Goal (penalty): Thomas Robinet — 1–2
Starting line-ups
Boulogne (3-4-3)
Nantes (5-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Boulogne 28%, the draw 31%, Nantes 41%. It finished Boulogne 1–2 Nantes.
Nantes' rating edge, but the draw is in play — Nantes are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their cold finishing due to recover on top gives Nantes the lean. The draw at 31% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Nantes at 41%?
Nantes sit 137 points higher on our strength rating — 1412 to 1549. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,189 such games. Nantes sit -0.62 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 39.0% of 2,455 such games where the class table expected 36.3%. The 300 most similar past games finished 33–31–36.
Why only 41%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 41% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 31% and Boulogne at 28%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Boulogne win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.3 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.1% of 18,221. The goals environment adds 3.6 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
In our recorded league results, Nantes are winless in their last 11 away games: 3 draws and 8 defeats. The run began on 31 January 2026. Last recorded away league win: 4 January 2026 — Marseille 0–2 Nantes. Latest recorded away league result: 12 September 2026 — Sochaux 1–0 Nantes. Across 13,685 historical matches involving visitors with at least six consecutive winless away league games, those visitors won 25.8%, compared with 24.9% expected from team strength. Nantes are 3 games into a new manager (Gregory Poirier), appointed 20 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Boulogne vs Nantes final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 2 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Boulogne and Nantes team pages or the Ligue 2 page.

