Match report
Nancy beat Guingamp 1-0 after stoppage-time penalty
Nancy beat Guingamp 1-0 in Ligue 2 on Matchday 8 at Stade Marcel-Picot, with the only goal arriving deep into stoppage time. Zakaria Fdaouch converted a penalty in the 90+6 minute to settle a contest that had been goalless at the interval.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The game turned on discipline. Nancy were reduced to ten men when Kouroufia Kebe was shown a red card in the 71st minute, yet the hosts kept pressing and Guingamp could not turn that advantage into a goal. Albin Demouchy was then sent off for the visitors in the 90+4 minute.
Fdaouch's spot-kick came two minutes after Demouchy's dismissal and decided the match. The result lifted Nancy to 13 points from eight games and fifth in the table, while Guingamp stayed on 8 points in 11th.
Guingamp goalkeeper Adrián Ortolá earned the match's highest rating, 8.1, in a losing cause. Nancy's Elydjah Mendy followed with 7.56.
Nancy had 17 shots to Guingamp's 8, with 7 on target to 2, underlining how one-sided the contest was in attack.
Nancy beat Guingamp 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Nancy met Guingamp in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Friday, 9 October 2026, 18:00 UTC at Stade Marcel-Picot. Referee: Henry Gabriel.
Key moments
- 71' Red card: Kouroufia Kebe
- 90+4' Red card: Albin Demouchy
- 90+6' Goal (penalty): Zakaria Fdaouch — 1–0 · Watch Zakaria Fdaouch's goal video (90+6')
Starting line-ups
Nancy (4-2-3-1)
Guingamp (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Nancy 39%, the draw 28%, Guingamp 33%. It finished Nancy 1–0 Guingamp.
Level sides, home ground holds off Guingamp's control of the ball — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Nancy's 39% is home ground and little else. The draw at 28% is what level sides usually produce.
Why Nancy in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1420 to 1423. Sides this close won 42.6% of 14,789 home games (draw 27.1%, visitors 30.3%).
Why only 39%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Guingamp hold 8 more possession points (56 to 48 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 39.8% across 5,464 games, from 43.9% when styles were level.
Why the draw at 28%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,114. The control factor adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Nancy have gained 78 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 39.9% of 11,168 such games vs 40.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. In our recorded league results, Guingamp are winless in their last 11 away games: 4 draws and 7 defeats. The run began on 30 January 2026. Last recorded away league win: 19 January 2026 — Nancy 0–3 Guingamp. Latest recorded away league result: 5 September 2026 — Reims 2–2 Guingamp. Across 13,728 historical matches involving visitors with at least six consecutive winless away league games, those visitors won 25.6%, compared with 25.0% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Nancy vs Guingamp final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 2 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Nancy 1–0 Guingamp. Explore more on the Nancy and Guingamp team pages or the Ligue 2 page.