Saint Etienne vs 10.10.26 18:002 – 0Full Time
Rodez — Ligue 2: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Saint Etienne beat Rodez 2-0 to stay top of Ligue 2
Saint Etienne won 2-0 at home to Rodez on Ligue 2 Matchday 8 at the Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, a result that kept them first in the table on 19 points from eight matches. Rodez, who arrived in 15th place with seven points, left without a goal and with a fourth defeat in six outings counting this one.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The hosts took the lead in the 15th minute when Thierno Ballo scored from a Jakob Breum assist, and they went into the interval 1-0 ahead. Rodez managed to keep the deficit at a single goal for much of the second period before Saint Etienne struck again.
That second goal arrived in the 55th minute, Augustine Boakye finishing after another Breum delivery to make it 2-0. Neither side saw a red card, and the visitors could not find a way back despite winning the corner count and matching the hosts for shots.
Jakob Breum supplied both assists, for Ballo and Boakye, and earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch at 8.6.
Saint Etienne held 62 per cent of the possession, yet shots finished level at 10 apiece.
Saint Etienne beat Rodez 2–0 (half-time 1–0).
Saint Etienne met Rodez in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Saturday, 10 October 2026, 18:00 UTC at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard. Referee: Pierre Gaillouste.
Team pages: Saint Etienne · Rodez · Ligue 2
Key moments
- 15' Goal: Thierno Ballo (assist: Jakob Breum) — 1–0
- 55' Goal: Augustine Boakye (assist: Jakob Breum) — 2–0
Starting line-ups
Saint Etienne (4-2-3-1)
Rodez (5-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Saint Etienne 54%, the draw 25%, Rodez 21%. It finished Saint Etienne 2–0 Rodez.
A slight rating edge to Saint Etienne, little else — Saint Etienne are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and their control of the ball on top gives Saint Etienne the lean. The draw at 25% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Saint Etienne at 54%?
Saint Etienne sit 64 points higher on our strength rating — 1584 to 1520. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.2% of 10,378 such games. Saint Etienne hold 8 more possession points (53 to 45 in recent games) across a 64-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,609 such games where the class table expected 40.6%.
Why only 54%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 54% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 25% and Rodez at 21%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,847. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Last five: Saint Etienne W-W-W-L-D, Rodez W-D-L-L-L — Saint Etienne are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.3% of 1897 games when clearly hotter and 43.7% of 3639 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Saint Etienne vs Rodez final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 2 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Saint Etienne 2–0 Rodez. Explore more on the Saint Etienne and Rodez team pages or the Ligue 2 page.