Guingamp vs Saint Etienne — Ligue 2: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsLigue 2 BKTYouTubeMatch Events
- 29′Saint Etienne, yellow card:Foul
- 37′Guingamp, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Saint Etienne, substitution:off
- 46′Saint Etienne, substitution:off
- 46′Saint Etienne, substitution:off
- 50′Guingamp, goal:2–0assist
- 64′Saint Etienne, yellow card:Dissent
- 68′Saint Etienne, substitution:off
- 68′Guingamp, substitution:off
- 68′Saint Etienne, substitution:off
- 70′Guingamp, yellow card:Dissent
- 77′Guingamp, substitution:off
- 77′Guingamp, substitution:off
- 80′Guingamp, yellow card:Foul
- 85′Guingamp, substitution:off
- 85′Guingamp, substitution:off
- 85′Guingamp, goal:3–0assist
- 90+5′Saint Etienne, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time3 – 0
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Guingamp
Saint Etienne
Match report
Guingamp beat league leaders Saint Etienne 3-0 at Stade de Roudourou
Guingamp won 3-0 against Saint Etienne in Ligue 2 on Matchday 11, a result that moved them from 12th to 9th and cut the gap to the league leaders' 25 points to 11. Saint Etienne, who began the night top of the table, stayed first despite the defeat.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The opening goal came seven minutes before the interval. Samir Ben Brahim supplied the pass and Stanislas Kielt finished to make it 1-0 in the 37th minute. Guingamp struck again within five minutes of the restart, Teddy Averlant converting from Donatien Gomis's assist in the 50th minute to double the lead.
Saint Etienne held 65% of the possession and had 21 shots to Guingamp's 11, yet they put only three of those on target to the hosts' four. Amadou Samoura sealed the win in the 85th minute, set up by Tanguy Ahile, to complete the 3-0 scoreline.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Guingamp a 24% chance of winning. Both sides are back in Ligue 2 action on Friday, with Guingamp away to Dunkerque and Saint Etienne at home to Laval.
Teddy Averlant scored the second goal five minutes into the second half and earned the match's highest rating, 7.82. Stanislas Kielt, who opened the scoring, was just behind on 7.80.
Saint Etienne's 65% possession brought them 21 shots, but Guingamp's 35% was enough for three goals.
Guingamp beat Saint Etienne 3–0 (half-time 1–0).
Guingamp met Saint Etienne in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Stade de Roudourou. Referee: Benoît Millot.
Team pages: Guingamp · Saint Etienne · Ligue 2
Key moments
- 37' Goal: Stanislas Kielt (assist: Samir Ben Brahim) — 1–0
- 50' Goal: Teddy Averlant (assist: Donatien Gomis) — 2–0
- 85' Goal: Amadou Samoura (assist: Tanguy Ahile) — 3–0
Starting line-ups
Guingamp (4-4-2)
Saint Etienne (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Guingamp 24%, the draw 25%, Saint Etienne 51%. It finished Guingamp 3–0 Saint Etienne.
Saint Etienne's strength rating edge sets the lean — Our strength rating puts Saint Etienne 190 points clear, 1613 to 1423, which outweighs the usual home advantage Guingamp enjoy and lets us give the visitors 51%. The draw sits at 25%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged down slightly because both sides' recent games average 3.0 goals.
Why Saint Etienne at 51%?
Saint Etienne sit 190 points higher on our strength rating — 1613 to 1423. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.5% of 7,206 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 25–25–50.
Why only 51%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 51% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 25% and Guingamp at 24%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.3%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,247.
What did we measure but not count?
Saint Etienne scored +0.32 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,194 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.0% vs 42.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Saint Etienne have gained 81 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.0% of 11,971 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Guingamp vs Saint Etienne final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 2 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Guingamp 3–0 Saint Etienne. Explore more on the Guingamp and Saint Etienne team pages or the Ligue 2 page.