HighlightsLigue 2 BKTYouTubeMatch Events
- 40′Rodez, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 59′Rodez, substitution:off
- 59′Rodez, substitution:off
- 65′Dunkerque, substitution:off
- 65′Dunkerque, substitution:off
- 66′Dunkerque, yellow card:Foul
- 67′Rodez, yellow card:Foul
- 71′Rodez, substitution:off
- 74′Dunkerque, substitution:off
- 81′Rodez, substitution:off
- 81′Rodez, substitution:off
- 81′Dunkerque, substitution:off
- 81′Dunkerque, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 0
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Rodez
Dunkerque
Match report
Nsona goal gives Rodez 1-0 win over Dunkerque despite possession gap
Rodez beat Dunkerque 1-0 in Ligue 2 on Matchday 11 at Stade Paul Lignon, Kelian Nsona's goal shortly before the interval proving enough. The result ended a run of four defeats in five games for the hosts and lifted them to 10th, one place above their visitors.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The only goal came in the 40th minute, Nsona finishing after a pass from Marco Essimi to make it 1-0. Rodez had 13 shots to Dunkerque's 12 and put six of them on target against two, which made their lead a fair reflection of the chances created.
Dunkerque kept 72 per cent of the ball but could not turn that control into clear openings after the break, with Moha Ramos and Allan Linguet among their better performers. The visitors, who had drawn 1-1 with Metz in their previous game, stayed on 12 points and slipped from 10th to 11th.
Rodez travel to Clermont Foot in Ligue 2 on Friday 6 November, the same day Dunkerque host Guingamp.
Nsona scored the decisive goal and earned the match's top rating of 8.15. Dunkerque's Ramos, rated 8.02, was the best of the visitors.
Dunkerque held 72 per cent of possession but lost, with Rodez managing only 28 per cent of the ball.
Rodez beat Dunkerque 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Rodez met Dunkerque in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off was Friday, 30 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Stade Paul Lignon. Referee: Eddy Rosier.
Key moments
- 40' Goal: Kelian Nsona (assist: Marco Essimi) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Rodez (5-3-2)
Dunkerque (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Rodez 43%, the draw 27%, Dunkerque 30%. It finished Rodez 1–0 Dunkerque.
Home advantage gives Rodez a slight lean — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, home advantage is the main reason we give Rodez 43%, though Dunkerque's greater share of the ball pulls some way back towards them. The draw sits at 27%, just under the usual rate for sides this level, as high-scoring recent games lower it more than Dunkerque's control raises it.
Why Rodez in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1498 to 1460. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,557 home games (draw 27.5%, visitors 26.6%).
Why only 43%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Dunkerque hold 5 more possession points (49 to 44 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 39.8% across 5,936 games, from 44.0% when styles were level.
Why the draw at 27%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,498. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. The control factor adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Rodez have shed 73 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.0% of 10,398 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Dunkerque come into this after a busy window — 13 arrivals, 19 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336).
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Rodez vs Dunkerque final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 2 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Rodez 1–0 Dunkerque. Explore more on the Rodez and Dunkerque team pages or the Ligue 2 page.