Match report
Mantova stun Lazio with late double to reach next round
Lazio were eliminated from the Coppa Italia Round of 64 as Mantova won 2-0 at the Stadio Olimpico despite having far less of the ball. The hosts dominated territorially but could not find a breakthrough before the break, with the sides level at 0-0 at half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The deadlock finally broke in the 75th minute when Francesco Ruocco converted an assist from Davide Bragantini to put Mantova ahead. Lazio pushed forward in search of an equaliser, but it was the visitors who struck again deep into stoppage time, I. Cajazzo finishing off a David Wieser assist in the 90+6th minute to make it 0-2 and settle the tie.
Gennaro Gattuso's side had 21 shots to Mantova's 11 and enjoyed 70 percent possession, yet managed only three shots on target compared to six from Francesco Modesto's visitors, who proved far more clinical in front of goal.
Ruocco scored the opening goal and earned a 7.5 rating, the joint-highest of the match alongside Lazio's Marušić.
Mantova needed only six shots on target to score twice, whereas Lazio managed just three despite dominating possession at 70 percent.
Mantova won 2–0 away against Lazio (half-time 0–0).
Lazio met Mantova in the Coppa Italia (Round of 64). Kick-off was Sunday, 16 August 2026, 19:15 UTC at Stadio Olimpico. Referee: Giuseppe Mucera.
Team pages: Lazio · Mantova · Coppa Italia
Key moments
- 75' Goal: Francesco Ruocco (assist: Davide Bragantini) — 0–1 · Watch Francesco Ruocco's goal video (75')
- 90' Goal: I. Cajazzo (assist: Davide Bragantini) — 0–2 · Watch I. Cajazzo's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Lazio (4-3-3)
Mantova (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Lazio 84%, the draw 11%, Mantova 5%. It finished Lazio 0–2 Mantova.
Lazio's rating gap decides it — Lazio are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Lazio's 84%. The draw at 11% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Lazio at 84%?
Lazio sit 426 points higher on our strength rating — 1866 to 1440. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge at home won 79.8% of 5,068 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 85–10–5.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 84% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 11% and Mantova at 5%.
Why is the draw only 11%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 11.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,797.
What did we measure but not count?
Mantova average 7 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 426 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Mantova have gained 69 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.5% of 12,164 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Lazio vs Mantova final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Coppa Italia fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Lazio 0–2 Mantova. Explore more on the Lazio and Mantova team pages or the Coppa Italia page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Lazio vs Mantova?
Mantova won 2–0 away against Lazio (half-time 0–0).
›Who scored in Lazio vs Mantova?
Francesco Ruocco (75') for Mantova; I. Cajazzo (90') for Mantova.
›Where can I watch Lazio vs Mantova highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Lazio 0–2 Mantova are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.