FC Cincinnati vs Atlas — Leagues Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 33′FC Cincinnati, yellow card:Foul
- 44′FC Cincinnati, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Atlas, substitution:off
- 59′Atlas, substitution:off
- 59′Atlas, substitution:off
- 59′Atlas, substitution:off
- 63′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 63′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 77′Atlas, yellow card:
- 78′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 78′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 79′Atlas, goal:1–1
- 80′Atlas, substitution:off
- 85′Atlas, goal:1–2
- 89′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assist
Player Ratings
FC Cincinnati
Atlas
Match report
Atlas stun FC Cincinnati with late double at TQL Stadium
FC Cincinnati suffered a 2-1 defeat to Atlas in Leagues Cup Group Stage action at TQL Stadium, despite leading at the interval. Evander broke the deadlock in first-half stoppage time, converting a chance set up by Bryan Josías Ramírez León to send the hosts in front at half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Atlas turned the contest on its head in the closing stages. Florián Monzón levelled in the 79th minute before Jesús Serrato struck six minutes later to put the visitors ahead for the first time, and that 1-2 scoreline held until the final whistle.
Cincinnati dominated territory and chances for long spells, holding 56 percent of possession and firing 16 shots to Atlas's eight, including ten corners to none for the visitors. Yet Atlas matched them shot for shot on target at six apiece, making their clinical finishing in the final quarter of an hour count for more than Cincinnati's overall control.
Evander scored Cincinnati's opening goal just before half-time and finished with the highest rating on the pitch at 8.9, though his effort was not enough to prevent defeat.
Cincinnati's ten corners to Atlas's none underlined how much of the match was played in the visitors' territory, even as the away side claimed the win.
Atlas won 2–1 away against FC Cincinnati (half-time 1–0).
FC Cincinnati met Atlas in the Leagues Cup (Group Stage). Kick-off was Wednesday, 12 August 2026, 00:00 UTC at TQL Stadium. Referee: H. Gomez.
Team pages: FC Cincinnati · Atlas · Leagues Cup
Key moments
- 44' Goal: Evander (assist: Bryan Ramírez) — 1–0
- 79' Goal: Florián Monzón — 1–1
- 85' Goal: Jesús Serrato — 1–2
Starting line-ups
FC Cincinnati (3-4-3)
- 13 Evan Louro
- 11 Samuel Gidi
- 21 Matt Miazga
- 12 Miles Robinson
- 29 Bryan Ramírez
- 5 Obinna Nwobodo
- 22 Gerardo Valenzuela
- 20 Pavel Bucha
- 10 Evander (c)
- 9 Kévin Denkey
- 17 Kenji Mboma Dem
Atlas (4-2-3-1)
- 12 Camilo Vargas (c)
- 16 Milton Valenzuela
- 44 Juan Purata
- 13 Gaddi Aguirre
- 28 Manuel Capasso
- 15 Paulo Ramírez
- 27 Víctor Ríos
- 23 Sergio Hernández
- 58 Arturo González
- 11 Duk
- 203 José Martín
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave FC Cincinnati 59%, the draw 22%, Atlas 19%. It finished FC Cincinnati 1–2 Atlas.
FC Cincinnati's rating edge carries it — FC Cincinnati are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of FC Cincinnati's 59%. The draw at 22% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why FC Cincinnati at 59%?
FC Cincinnati sit 176 points higher on our strength rating — 1646 to 1470. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,672 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 63–21–16.
Why only 59%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 59% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and Atlas at 19%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 4.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,887. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
FC Cincinnati scored +0.99 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,750 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. FC Cincinnati have gained 74 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.5% of 12,133 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the FC Cincinnati vs Atlas final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Leagues Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the FC Cincinnati and Atlas team pages or the Leagues Cup page.