Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBundesligaYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 5′Borussia Dortmund, goal:1–0assist
- 31′Borussia Dortmund, goal disallowed:Goal cancelled
- 39′SC Paderborn 07, yellow card:Foul
- 45+3′Borussia Dortmund, goal disallowed:Goal cancelled
- Half-time1 – 0
- 64′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 64′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 64′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 66′Borussia Dortmund, yellow card:Foul
- 67′SC Paderborn 07, substitution:off
- 67′SC Paderborn 07, substitution:off
- 67′SC Paderborn 07, substitution:off
- 77′SC Paderborn 07, substitution:off
- 77′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 77′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 80′Borussia Dortmund, goal:2–0assist
- 82′SC Paderborn 07, substitution:off
- 89′Borussia Dortmund, goal:3–0assist
- Full-time3 – 0
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Borussia Dortmund
SC Paderborn 07
Match report
Nmecha double sends Dortmund third past Paderborn
Borussia Dortmund cruised to a 3-0 win over SC Paderborn 07 at Signal Iduna Park in matchday three of the Bundesliga, extending their unbeaten home run this season under N. Kovač. The victory lifted Dortmund to second in the table on nine points, while Paderborn remain 15th with just a single point from three games.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Dortmund made the early running, with Fábio Silva finishing off a Serhou Guirassy assist after just five minutes to settle the hosts. That single goal stood as the half-time margin, though Dortmund controlled the tempo throughout, dominating possession and testing the visitors' goal repeatedly without adding to their tally before the break.
The contest was effectively settled late on when Felix Nmecha struck twice in the space of nine minutes, first converting a Maximilian Beier assist in the 80th minute before adding another, teed up by Marcel Sabitzer, in the 89th. Paderborn, already toothless in attack, failed to register a single shot on target across the match.
Felix Nmecha scored twice in the closing stages to seal the win, finishing with a match-high rating of 8.36.
Paderborn's failure to force a single shot on target from their ten attempts summed up their attacking struggles on the day.
Borussia Dortmund beat SC Paderborn 07 3–0 (half-time 1–0).
Borussia Dortmund met SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Saturday, 12 September 2026, 13:30 UTC at Signal Iduna Park. Referee: Harm Osmers.
Team pages: Borussia Dortmund · SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga
Key moments
- 5' Goal: Fábio Silva (assist: Serhou Guirassy) — 1–0 · Watch Fábio Silva's goal video (5')
- 80' Goal: Felix Nmecha (assist: Maximilian Beier) — 2–0 · Watch Felix Nmecha's goal video (80')
- 89' Goal: Felix Nmecha (assist: Marcel Sabitzer) — 3–0 · Watch Felix Nmecha's goal video (89')
Starting line-ups
Borussia Dortmund (3-4-2-1)
SC Paderborn 07 (3-1-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Borussia Dortmund 73%, the draw 18%, SC Paderborn 07 9%. It finished Borussia Dortmund 3–0 SC Paderborn 07.
Borussia Dortmund's rating gap decides it — Borussia Dortmund are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Borussia Dortmund's 73%. The draw at 18% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Borussia Dortmund at 73%?
Borussia Dortmund sit 325 points higher on our strength rating — 2007 to 1683. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge at home won 79.8% of 5,121 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 73–18–9.
Why not higher?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Borussia Dortmund's column. Across 11,058 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw only 18%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 17.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,178. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment takes 1.5 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
SC Paderborn 07 come into this after a busy window — 12 arrivals and 7 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Last 6 between them: Borussia Dortmund 4 wins, 2 draws, SC Paderborn 07 0 wins. Most recently Borussia Dortmund 3–2 SC Paderborn 07, 6 years ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 43.1% of 5088 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Fábio Silva's goal against SC Paderborn 07 (5').
- Watch Felix Nmecha's goal against SC Paderborn 07 (80').
- Watch Felix Nmecha's goal against SC Paderborn 07 (89').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Borussia Dortmund 3–0 SC Paderborn 07. Explore more on the Borussia Dortmund and SC Paderborn 07 team pages or the Bundesliga page.

