VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBundesligaYouTubeMatch Events
- 13′VfB Stuttgart, yellow card:Time wasting
- 17′VfB Stuttgart, yellow card:Foul
- 32′Borussia Dortmund, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′Borussia Dortmund, yellow card:Foul
- 57′Borussia Dortmund, yellow card:Foul
- 62′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 62′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 64′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 64′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 70′Borussia Dortmund, goal:0–1assist
- 74′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 81′Borussia Dortmund, yellow card:Foul
- 82′Borussia Dortmund, yellow card:Dissent
- 82′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 82′Borussia Dortmund, substitution:off
- 84′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 84′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- Full-time0 – 1
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VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Dortmund
Match report
Beier strike gives Dortmund win at Stuttgart
Borussia Dortmund moved top of the Bundesliga table with a 1-0 win away at VfB Stuttgart in matchday four of the Regular Season, played at MHP Arena. The only goal arrived in the 70th minute, when Maximilian Beier converted after being set up by Jobe Bellingham, breaking a deadlock that had held since kick-off in a game level at half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Stuttgart pressed for an equaliser without success, despite holding the greater share of possession and forcing 12 shots to Dortmund's 13 in a tightly contested match. Dortmund made their attempts count more clinically, landing five shots on target against Stuttgart's two, and Gregor Kobel's goalkeeping helped preserve the lead through to the final whistle.
Discipline was also a factor in a fractious contest, with Tobias Stieler booking five Stuttgart players compared with two for the visitors, though no one was sent off. The result left Dortmund with 12 points from four games at the top of the table, while Stuttgart remained down in 14th on three points.
Maximilian Mittelstädt was rated the top performer on the pitch with 7.79, despite finishing on the losing side, while Beier's decisive goal earned him a rating of 7.61 for Dortmund.
Dortmund were markedly sharper in front of goal, hitting the target with five of their 13 shots compared with Stuttgart's two from 12.
Borussia Dortmund won 1–0 away against VfB Stuttgart (half-time 0–0).
VfB Stuttgart met Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Saturday, 19 September 2026, 16:30 UTC at MHPArena. Referee: Tobias Stieler.
Team pages: VfB Stuttgart · Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga
Key moments
- 70' Goal: Maximilian Beier (assist: Jobe Bellingham) — 0–1
Starting line-ups
VfB Stuttgart (3-4-2-1)
Borussia Dortmund (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave VfB Stuttgart 38%, the draw 28%, Borussia Dortmund 34%. It finished VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund.
Home ground outweighs Borussia Dortmund's rating edge — Borussia Dortmund are the stronger side on our strength rating, but home ground gives VfB Stuttgart the lean. The draw at 28% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why VfB Stuttgart at 38%?
Home ground, against the rating. Borussia Dortmund sit 52 points higher on our strength rating — 1960 to 2012. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 33.0% of 10,648 such games.
Why only 38%?
Because Borussia Dortmund are the stronger side on our strength rating. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims VfB Stuttgart's column. Across 11,181 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why the draw at 28%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,242. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
VfB Stuttgart won 4 of the last 6 meetings with Borussia Dortmund. The record is 4 wins for VfB Stuttgart, 1 draw and 1 win for Borussia Dortmund. These were 1 DFB Pokal game and 5 Bundesliga games played between 6 December 2023 and 4 April 2026. Latest meeting: 4 April 2026 — VfB Stuttgart 0–2 Borussia Dortmund. VfB Stuttgart lead the 6-match record, although Borussia Dortmund won the latest encounter. In 5,104 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 43.0%. Last five: VfB Stuttgart W-L-W-W-L, Borussia Dortmund W-W-W-W-W — Borussia Dortmund are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.6% of 2215 games when clearly hotter and 42.7% of 4038 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund. Explore more on the VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund team pages or the Bundesliga page.

