VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
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play_arrow5 clips- 5′VfB Stuttgart, goal:1–0assist
- 38′Borussia Mönchengladbach, goal:1–1assist
- 44′VfB Stuttgart, yellow card:
- 45′VfB Stuttgart, yellow card:
- 45+3′Borussia Mönchengladbach, yellow card:
- Half-time1 – 1
- 51′Borussia Mönchengladbach, goal:1–2assist
- 53′Borussia Mönchengladbach, yellow card:
- 54′Borussia Mönchengladbach, yellow card:
- 55′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 55′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 55′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 64′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 66′Borussia Mönchengladbach, goal:1–3assist
- 70′Borussia Mönchengladbach, substitution:off
- 70′Borussia Mönchengladbach, substitution:off
- 76′Borussia Mönchengladbach, substitution:off
- 79′Borussia Mönchengladbach, yellow card:
- 83′VfB Stuttgart, goal:2–3assist
- 84′Borussia Mönchengladbach, substitution:off
- 84′Borussia Mönchengladbach, substitution:off
- 90′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 3
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Match report
Borussia Mönchengladbach come from behind to beat VfB Stuttgart 3-2
Borussia Mönchengladbach won their first Bundesliga game of the season, beating VfB Stuttgart 3-2 at the MHP Arena on matchday seven. They had gone into the evening without a point from six league games, and the result ended a run of six defeats in a row.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Stuttgart led after five minutes, when Ermedin Demirović finished from Dženan Pejčinović's pass. Joe Scally levelled in the 38th minute, set up by Zento Uno, and the sides went in at 1-1. Shuto Machino put the visitors ahead six minutes into the second half, with Wael Mohya providing the assist.
Mohya then scored himself in the 66th minute, Scally supplying the pass, to make it 3-1. Demirović pulled one back in the 83rd minute from Jamie Leweling's delivery, but Stuttgart could not find an equaliser. Despite 70% of the possession, they were out-created: Gladbach's expected goals figure was 2.66 to 1.62.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Borussia Mönchengladbach a 12% chance of winning. The result lifted them from 18th to 18th place on three points, while Stuttgart, who had been 13th, fell to 14th on six. Stuttgart travel to SC Paderborn 07 in the DFB Pokal on Wednesday, while Gladbach host Karlsruher SC in the same competition on Tuesday.
Wael Mohya was the top-rated player with a score of 8.69, scoring once and assisting once. His assist for Machino's goal and his own strike in the 66th minute effectively decided the contest.
Stuttgart held 70% of the possession yet lost, with Gladbach having 16 shots to their 15.
Borussia Mönchengladbach won 3–2 away against VfB Stuttgart (half-time 1–1).
VfB Stuttgart met Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Friday, 23 October 2026, 18:30 UTC at MHP Arena. Referee: Matthias Jollenbeck. Attendance: 60,000.
Team pages: VfB Stuttgart · Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga
Key moments
- 5' Goal: Ermedin Demirović (assist: Dženan Pejčinović) — 1–0 · Watch Ermedin Demirović's goal video (5')
- 38' Goal: Joe Scally (assist: Zento Uno) — 1–1 · Watch Joe Scally's goal video (38')
- 51' Goal: Shuto Machino (assist: Wael Mohya) — 1–2 · Watch Shuto Machino's goal video (51')
- 66' Goal: Wael Mohya (assist: Joe Scally) — 1–3 · Watch Wael Mohya's goal video (66')
- 83' Goal: Ermedin Demirović (assist: Jamie Leweling) — 2–3 · Watch Ermedin Demirović's goal video (83')
Starting line-ups
VfB Stuttgart (4-2-3-1)
Borussia Mönchengladbach (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave VfB Stuttgart 72%, the draw 16%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 12%. It finished VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
A clear strength gap makes Stuttgart strong favourites — We give VfB Stuttgart 72% mainly because they sit 215 points higher on our strength rating, 1772 to 1557, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw sits at 16%, just below the usual 17.5% for a gap this size, because both teams' own recent games average 3.7 goals.
Why VfB Stuttgart at 72%?
VfB Stuttgart sit 215 points higher on our strength rating — 1772 to 1557. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 66.9% of 7,051 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 72–17–11.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 72% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 16% and Borussia Mönchengladbach at 12%.
Why is the draw only 16%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 17.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.7 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,372. The goals environment takes 1.5 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
VfB Stuttgart have averaged 6 percentage points more possession than Borussia Mönchengladbach in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. In our recorded league results, Borussia Mönchengladbach are winless in their last 14 away games: 4 draws and 10 defeats. The run began on 19 December 2025. Last recorded away league win: 5 December 2025 — FSV Mainz 05 0–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach. Latest recorded away league result: 11 October 2026 — 1. FC Köln 2–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach. Across 14,183 historical matches involving visitors with at least six consecutive winless away league games, those visitors won 24.4%, compared with 24.1% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Ermedin Demirović's goal against Borussia Mönchengladbach (5').
- Watch Joe Scally's goal against VfB Stuttgart (38').
- Watch Shuto Machino's goal against VfB Stuttgart (51').
- Watch Wael Mohya's goal against VfB Stuttgart (66').
- Watch Ermedin Demirović's goal against Borussia Mönchengladbach (83').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach. Explore more on the VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach team pages or the Bundesliga page.