1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBundesligaYouTubeMatch Events
- 40′Bayer Leverkusen, yellow card:
- 41′Bayer Leverkusen, substitution:off
- 45′1899 Hoffenheim, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 58′Bayer Leverkusen, yellow card:
- 64′Bayer Leverkusen, substitution:off
- 64′Bayer Leverkusen, substitution:off
- 64′Bayer Leverkusen, substitution:off
- 65′1899 Hoffenheim, substitution:off
- 67′1899 Hoffenheim, yellow card:
- 72′1899 Hoffenheim, substitution:off
- 75′Bayer Leverkusen, yellow card:
- 77′1899 Hoffenheim, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 79′1899 Hoffenheim, penalty goal:1–0Penalty
- 82′1899 Hoffenheim, yellow card:
- 84′1899 Hoffenheim, substitution:off
- 84′1899 Hoffenheim, substitution:off
- 84′Bayer Leverkusen, substitution:off
- 89′1899 Hoffenheim, goal:2–0assist
- 90+1′1899 Hoffenheim, second yellow card:
- 90+4′Bayer Leverkusen, yellow card:
- 90+5′1899 Hoffenheim, goal:3–0assist
- Full-time3 – 0
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1899 Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
Match report
1899 Hoffenheim beat Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 with late goals
1899 Hoffenheim ended Bayer Leverkusen's unbeaten run with a 3-0 Bundesliga victory at the Prezero Arena on Matchday 7, scoring all three goals in the final 12 minutes. The match was goalless at half-time and stayed that way until the closing stages, with Leverkusen's run of 8 games unbeaten coming to an end.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The breakthrough came in the 79th minute, when Andrej Kramarić converted a penalty to make it 1-0. Ten minutes later he set up Alexander Prass to double the lead in the 89th. Prass was then sent off in the 90+1 minute, leaving Hoffenheim with ten men, but the home side still added a third. Kramarić provided the pass again in the 90+5 minute, and Max Moerstedt finished to make it 3-0.
Hoffenheim had 20 shots to Leverkusen's 10, and six of them were on target against one from the visitors, even though Leverkusen held 58 per cent of the possession. The result lifted Hoffenheim from 14th to 10th on nine points, while Leverkusen stayed fourth on 13. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given 1899 Hoffenheim a 25% chance of winning. Both sides are in DFB Pokal action next, on Wednesday: Hoffenheim are away to Holstein Kiel and Leverkusen host 1. FC Nürnberg.
Andrej Kramarić scored the penalty that opened the scoring and then provided the assists for both of the later goals, earning a rating of 7.89, the highest of any player.
Hoffenheim put six of their 20 shots on target, while Leverkusen managed just one from their 10.
1899 Hoffenheim beat Bayer Leverkusen 3–0 (half-time 0–0).
1899 Hoffenheim met Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Sunday, 25 October 2026, 14:30 UTC at Prezero Arena. Referee: Daniel Siebert. Attendance: 27,378.
Team pages: 1899 Hoffenheim · Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga
Key moments
- 79' Goal (penalty): Andrej Kramarić — 1–0
- 89' Goal: Alexander Prass (assist: Andrej Kramarić) — 2–0
- 90+5' Goal: Max Moerstedt (assist: Andrej Kramarić) — 3–0
Starting line-ups
1899 Hoffenheim (4-4-2)
Bayer Leverkusen (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave 1899 Hoffenheim 25%, the draw 23%, Bayer Leverkusen 52%. It finished 1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen.
Leverkusen's stronger rating gives them the edge — We give Bayer Leverkusen 52% mainly because they sit 188 points higher on our strength rating, 1844 to 1656, which outweighs the usual home advantage Hoffenheim start with. The draw sits at 23%, a little below the usual 25% for a gap this size, because both teams' own recent games average 3.8 goals.
Why Bayer Leverkusen at 52%?
Bayer Leverkusen sit 188 points higher on our strength rating — 1844 to 1656. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.4% of 7,183 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 25–22–53.
Why only 52%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 52% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and 1899 Hoffenheim at 25%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.4%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,416. The goals environment takes 2.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Albian Hajdari, an important player, and Patrick Wimmer, a rotation player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Bayer Leverkusen won 4 of the last 6 meetings with 1899 Hoffenheim. The record is 4 wins for Bayer Leverkusen, 0 draws and 2 wins for 1899 Hoffenheim. These were 6 Bundesliga games played at both grounds between 4 November 2023 and 17 January 2026. Latest meeting: 17 January 2026 — 1899 Hoffenheim 1–0 Bayer Leverkusen. Bayer Leverkusen lead the 6-match record, although 1899 Hoffenheim won the latest encounter. In 6,078 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.1%. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from 1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen. Explore more on the 1899 Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen team pages or the Bundesliga page.