Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBundesligaYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow6 clips- 14′VfB Stuttgart, goal:0–1assist
- 17′Bayer Leverkusen, yellow card:
- 22′VfB Stuttgart, goal:0–2assist
- 28′Bayer Leverkusen, goal:1–2assist
- 40′Bayer Leverkusen, yellow card:
- 40′VfB Stuttgart, yellow card:
- 40′Bayer Leverkusen, yellow card:
- 40′VfB Stuttgart, yellow card:
- Half-time1 – 2
- 51′VfB Stuttgart, goal:1–3assist
- 53′Bayer Leverkusen, yellow card:
- 58′VfB Stuttgart, yellow card:
- 62′Bayer Leverkusen, substitution:off
- 64′VfB Stuttgart, yellow card:
- 65′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 65′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 65′VfB Stuttgart, goal:1–4assist
- 72′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 75′Bayer Leverkusen, substitution:off
- 75′Bayer Leverkusen, substitution:off
- 79′Bayer Leverkusen, goal:2–4assist
- 83′Bayer Leverkusen, substitution:off
- 85′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 85′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 4
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Bayer Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart
Match report
VfB Stuttgart beat Bayer Leverkusen 4-2 at the BayArena
VfB Stuttgart won 4-2 at Bayer Leverkusen in a Bundesliga Matchday 8 fixture at the BayArena, scoring four times away from home to leave the hosts beaten in front of their own supporters. Six goals were scored in all, with Stuttgart ahead for almost the whole afternoon.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Stuttgart struck first through Ermedin Demirović in the 14th minute, set up by Bilal El Khannouss, and doubled the lead in the 22nd when Jamie Leweling finished from a Grischa Prömel assist. Leverkusen answered in the 28th minute, Patrik Schick scoring from an Aleix García delivery, but the visitors led 2-1 at the break.
Bilal El Khannouss added the third in the 51st minute, assisted by Chris Führich, and Demirović claimed his second in the 65th, with Deniz Undav providing the pass. Ibrahim Maza pulled one back for Leverkusen in the 79th minute from a Miguel Gutiérrez assist, but the deficit was never closed.
The result lifted Stuttgart from 15th to 10th, while Leverkusen slipped from fourth to sixth. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given VfB Stuttgart a 28% chance of winning. Stuttgart travel to Galatasaray in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday, and Leverkusen host Marseille in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday.
Ermedin Demirović scored twice, in the 14th and 65th minutes, and earned the highest rating of any player on the pitch at 8.49. Bilal El Khannouss supplied the first assist and then scored the third.
Leverkusen had 12 corners to Stuttgart's three, yet still lost by two goals.
VfB Stuttgart won 4–2 away against Bayer Leverkusen (half-time 1–2).
Bayer Leverkusen met VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 14:30 UTC at BayArena. Referee: Benjamin Brand. Attendance: 30,210.
Team pages: Bayer Leverkusen · VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga
Key moments
- 14' Goal: Ermedin Demirović (assist: Bilal El Khannouss) — 0–1 · Watch Ermedin Demirović's goal video (14')
- 22' Goal: Jamie Leweling (assist: Grischa Prömel) — 0–2 · Watch Jamie Leweling's goal video (22')
- 28' Goal: Patrik Schick (assist: Aleix García) — 1–2 · Watch Patrik Schick's goal video (28')
- 51' Goal: Bilal El Khannouss (assist: Chris Führich) — 1–3 · Watch Bilal El Khannouss's goal video (51')
- 65' Goal: Ermedin Demirović (assist: Deniz Undav) — 1–4 · Watch Ermedin Demirović's goal video (65')
- 79' Goal: Ibrahim Maza (assist: Miguel Gutiérrez) — 2–4 · Watch Ibrahim Maza's goal video (79')
Starting line-ups
Bayer Leverkusen (4-2-3-1)
VfB Stuttgart (3-4-1-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Bayer Leverkusen 46%, the draw 26%, VfB Stuttgart 28%. It finished Bayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart.
Leverkusen's edge, tempered by Stuttgart's finishing — We give Bayer Leverkusen 46%, as our strength rating has them a shade stronger at 1818 to 1760, though Stuttgart's cold finishing pulls the other way because streaks like theirs have tended to bounce back. The draw sits at 26%, near its usual 27%, trimmed by high-scoring recent games and nudged up slightly by that finishing streak.
Why Bayer Leverkusen at 46%?
Bayer Leverkusen sit 58 points higher on our strength rating — 1818 to 1760. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.1% of 11,106 such games.
Why only 46%?
VfB Stuttgart sit -0.51 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.1% of 1,669 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,505. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. The bounce-back factor adds 1.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Angelo Stiller, a star player, and Josha Vagnoman, a rotation player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Last five: Bayer Leverkusen W-W-W-L-W, VfB Stuttgart W-L-D-L-W — Bayer Leverkusen are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.9% of 2031 games when clearly hotter and 43.8% of 3929 when clearly colder. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Ermedin Demirović's goal against Bayer Leverkusen (14').
- Watch Jamie Leweling's goal against Bayer Leverkusen (22').
- Watch Patrik Schick's goal against VfB Stuttgart (28').
- Watch Bilal El Khannouss's goal against Bayer Leverkusen (51').
- Watch Ermedin Demirović's goal against Bayer Leverkusen (65').
- Watch Ibrahim Maza's goal against VfB Stuttgart (79').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Bayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart. Explore more on the Bayer Leverkusen and VfB Stuttgart team pages or the Bundesliga page.