Maritimo vs Academico Viseu — Primeira Liga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 25′Academico Viseu, goal:0–1assist
- 43′Maritimo, yellow card:Foul
- 45′Academico Viseu, yellow card:Foul
- 45′Academico Viseu, goal:0–2
- Half-time0 – 2
- 49′Academico Viseu, yellow card:Foul
- 54′Maritimo, yellow card:Foul
- 59′Maritimo, substitution:off
- 60′Maritimo, substitution:off
- 62′Academico Viseu, yellow card:Foul
- 64′Academico Viseu, substitution:off
- 65′Academico Viseu, yellow card:Off the ball foul
- 69′Academico Viseu, substitution:off
- 69′Academico Viseu, substitution:off
- 70′Maritimo, goal:1–2
- 75′Maritimo, substitution:off
- 79′Academico Viseu, substitution:off
- 79′Academico Viseu, substitution:off
- 85′Academico Viseu, yellow card:Foul
- 86′Academico Viseu, yellow card:Argument
- 88′Maritimo, penalty goal:2–2Penalty
- 89′Maritimo, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assist
Player Ratings
Maritimo
Academico Viseu
Match report
Maritimo snatch late 2-2 draw against Academico Viseu with Butzke penalty
Maritimo and Academico Viseu shared the points in a 2-2 draw in matchday three of the Primeira Liga, with the home side twice pegged back before rescuing a point deep into the second half. Viseu led at the break thanks to two goals inside the opening 45 minutes, while Maritimo's response came only after the interval.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
André Clóvis opened the scoring in the 25th minute, converting an assist from Anthony Correia, and Soufiane Messeguem doubled the away side's advantage in first-half stoppage time to send Viseu in 2-0 up at the interval. Maritimo, who had gone into the match top of the table, needed until the 70th minute to respond, when Paulo Henrique pulled a goal back. Adrián Butzke then levelled from the penalty spot in the 87th minute to complete the comeback.
Viseu carried the greater threat in front of goal despite seeing less of the ball, managing six shots to Maritimo's four and finishing with a higher expected goals reading. Maritimo, who controlled possession at 55 percent, committed more fouls across the ninety minutes as they pushed for the goals that eventually arrived through Henrique and Butzke.
Messeguem and Clóvis both scored for Viseu and were rated 7.7, with Clóvis opening the scoring and Messeguem doubling the lead before the break, while Correia's assist also stood out.
Viseu's 1.02 expected goals figure, nearly four times Maritimo's 0.26, reflected the sharper edge they showed in the final third.
Maritimo and Academico Viseu drew 2–2 (half-time 0–2).
Maritimo met Academico Viseu in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Saturday, 22 August 2026, 14:30 UTC at Estadio do Maritimo. Referee: Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe.
Team pages: Maritimo · Academico Viseu · Primeira Liga
Key moments
- 25' Goal: André Clóvis (assist: Anthony Correia) — 0–1
- 45' Goal: Soufiane Messeguem — 0–2
- 70' Goal: Paulo Henrique — 1–2
- 88' Goal (penalty): Adrián Butzke — 2–2
Starting line-ups
Maritimo (4-2-3-1)
Academico Viseu (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Maritimo 30%, the draw 31%, Academico Viseu 39%. It finished Maritimo 2–2 Academico Viseu.
Academico Viseu's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Academico Viseu are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Academico Viseu the lean. The draw at 31% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Academico Viseu at 39%?
Academico Viseu sit 136 points higher on our strength rating — 1462 to 1599. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,069 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Maritimo's column. Across 10,641 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 31–28–41.
Why only 39%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 39% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 31% and Maritimo at 30%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Maritimo win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,608. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Maritimo are newly promoted — game 3 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen. Academico Viseu are newly promoted — game 3 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Maritimo vs Academico Viseu final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Primeira Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Maritimo and Academico Viseu team pages or the Primeira Liga page.