Santa Clara vs Famalicao — Primeira Liga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow1 clip- 22′Santa Clara, goal:1–0assist
- 26′Santa Clara, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Famalicao, substitution:off
- 62′Santa Clara, substitution:off
- 62′Santa Clara, substitution:off
- 65′Famalicao, substitution:off
- 74′Santa Clara, substitution:off
- 74′Santa Clara, substitution:off
- 75′Famalicao, yellow card:Foul
- 80′Famalicao, yellow card:Foul
- 81′Famalicao, substitution:off
- 86′Famalicao, substitution:off
- 86′Famalicao, substitution:off
- 88′Santa Clara, substitution:off
- 88′Famalicao, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goal
Assist
Videos
Player Ratings
Santa Clara
Famalicao
Match report
Paciência strike sees Santa Clara edge past Famalicao
Santa Clara secured a 1-0 victory over Famalicao in matchday three of the Primeira Liga, a result that lifted them to third in the table while leaving Carlos Carvalhal's side languishing in 14th place after just one point from three games.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The only goal arrived in the 22nd minute when Gonçalo Paciência converted an assist from Sorriso to put the home side ahead, a lead they would not relinquish. The score stood at 1-0 at half-time and remained that way until the final whistle, with neither side finding the net again despite the closing stages.
Famalicao dominated territory, holding 67% of possession and winning nine corners to Santa Clara's one, yet they could not convert that control into a breakthrough, managing only three shots on target from eight attempts. Santa Clara were more direct, registering ten shots and edging the expected-goals count, making the most of their limited opportunities.
Gonçalo Paciência scored the decisive goal and earned the highest rating of the match at 7.7, proving the difference for Santa Clara.
Despite seeing just 33% of the ball, Santa Clara out-shot Famalicao ten attempts to eight, underlining their efficiency in possession.
Santa Clara beat Famalicao 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Santa Clara met Famalicao in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Sunday, 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC at Estadio de São Miguel. Referee: Iancu Vasilica.
Team pages: Santa Clara · Famalicao · Primeira Liga
Key moments
- 22' Goal: Gonçalo Paciência (assist: Sorriso) — 1–0 · Watch Gonçalo Paciência's goal video (22')
Starting line-ups
Santa Clara (4-2-3-1)
Famalicao (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Santa Clara 31%, the draw 35%, Famalicao 34%. It finished Santa Clara 1–0 Famalicao.
Famalicao's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Famalicao are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their control of the ball plus the early-season home fade on top give Famalicao the lean. The draw at 35% is the likeliest single result, lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Famalicao at 34%?
Famalicao sit 60 points higher on our strength rating — 1640 to 1700. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 32.9% of 10,532 such games. Famalicao hold 6 more possession points (53 to 47 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 40.3% across 5,543 games, from 44.0% when styles were level. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Santa Clara's column. Across 10,693 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 43–31–26.
Why only 34%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 34% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 35% and Santa Clara at 31%.
Why is the draw the likeliest result?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.3 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,117. The goals environment adds 3.7 points to the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Santa Clara have gained 76 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,211 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Santa Clara vs Famalicao final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Primeira Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Santa Clara 1–0 Famalicao. Explore more on the Santa Clara and Famalicao team pages or the Primeira Liga page.