Match Events
- 5′SC Braga, goal:0–1assist
- 27′Estrela, yellow card:Foul
- 45′Estrela, goal:1–1assist
- Half-time1 – 1
- 56′Estrela, goal:2–1assist
- 61′SC Braga, substitution:off
- 61′SC Braga, substitution:off
- 61′SC Braga, substitution:off
- 75′Estrela, substitution:off
- 75′Estrela, substitution:off
- 76′SC Braga, substitution:off
- 76′SC Braga, substitution:off
- 77′SC Braga, yellow card:Foul
- 85′Estrela, yellow card:Foul
- 87′Estrela, substitution:off
- 90′Estrela, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Goals
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Player Ratings
Estrela
SC Braga
Match report
Stoica double sinks Braga as Estrela come from behind
Estrela came from behind to beat SC Braga 2-1 in Primeira Liga matchday 3, with Ianis Stoica scoring twice after the visitors had led at the break. The result lifted Pepa's side to sixth in the table, while Braga, guided by Carlos Vicens, remain eighth.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Braga struck early through Gabri Martínez, who converted a Pau Victor assist in the fifth minute to put the away side ahead. Estrela responded right on the stroke of half-time, Stoica levelling with the help of a pass from Eddy Doue to send the sides in level at 1-1 at the interval.
The turnaround was completed just after the hour when Stoica struck again, this time set up by Abraham Marcus, to make it 2-1 and give the hosts a lead they would not relinquish. Despite seeing only 37 percent of possession, Estrela made their moments count while Braga's dominance of the ball yielded no further breakthrough.
Stoica scored both of Estrela's goals, turning the game on its head with a leveller before half-time and the winner shortly after the restart, finishing with a rating of 8.78.
Braga controlled 63 percent of possession yet could not convert that dominance into a positive result.
Estrela beat SC Braga 2–1 (half-time 1–1).
Estrela met SC Braga in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Thursday, 10 September 2026, 19:15 UTC at FC Alverca Sports Complex. Referee: Iancu Vasilica.
Team pages: Estrela · SC Braga · Primeira Liga
Key moments
- 5' Goal: Gabri Martínez (assist: Pau Victor) — 0–1
- 45' Goal: Ianis Stoica (assist: Eddy Doue) — 1–1
- 56' Goal: Ianis Stoica (assist: Abraham Marcus) — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Estrela (4-2-3-1)
- 24 Léo Linck
- 55 Rafa Soares
- 5 Stefan Leković (c)
- 30 Luan Patrick
- 21 Max Scholze
- 78 Santiago Serra
- 39 Eddy Doue
- 10 Ianis Stoica
- 14 Lovro Zvonarek
- 99 Abraham Marcus
- 37 Leandro Antonetti
SC Braga (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Estrela 13%, the draw 23%, SC Braga 64%. It finished Estrela 2–1 SC Braga.
SC Braga's rating gap outweighs Estrela's home ground — SC Braga are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives SC Braga a clear lead. The draw at 23% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why SC Braga at 64%?
SC Braga sit 396 points higher on our strength rating — 1496 to 1892. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge on the road won 65.9% of 5,241 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Estrela's column. Across 11,039 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 16–20–64.
Why only 64%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 64% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and Estrela at 13%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 20.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,792. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
SC Braga average 14 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 396 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Estrela have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Estrela vs SC Braga final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Primeira Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Estrela and SC Braga team pages or the Primeira Liga page.