Match report
Rodrigues strike late on gives Braga win over Guimaraes
SC Braga edged out Guimaraes 1-0 in a Primeira Liga round four fixture, with the only goal arriving late to separate two sides who had cancelled each other out for long spells. The result lifted Braga to ninth in the table on four points from two games, while Guimaraes remained in 12th with three points from four outings.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The breakthrough came in the 79th minute when Diego Rodrigues converted an assist from Gabriel Silva to make it 1-0, a goal that proved decisive as neither side found a way to add to the scoreline before the final whistle. Until then, the match had remained goalless through a first half that ended level at 0-0.
Braga controlled the tempo for much of the contest, holding 55% of possession and registering nine shots to Guimaraes's eight, with four finding the target compared to their opponents' two. Guimaraes committed more fouls, 16 to Braga's 12, and picked up three yellow cards against Braga's two, as referee André Narciso booked players from both sides throughout.
Diego Rodrigues delivered the decisive contribution with the match's only goal, earning a rating of 7.9, while Gabriel Silva's assist on the winner also saw him rated highly at 7.6.
Braga's xg of 0.83 comfortably outstripped Guimaraes's 0.23, reflecting the home side's greater threat in front of goal.
SC Braga beat Guimaraes 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
SC Braga met Guimaraes in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Monday, 31 August 2026, 19:15 UTC at Estádio Municipal de Braga. Referee: André Narciso.
Team pages: SC Braga · Guimaraes · Primeira Liga
Key moments
- 54' Goal: — 1–0
Starting line-ups
SC Braga (3-4-2-1)
Guimaraes (4-2-3-1)
- 48 Oliwier Zych
- 13 João Mendes
- 28 Thiago Balieiro
- 4 Óscar Rivas
- 23 Tony Strata
- 44 Lohann Doucet
- 8 Gonçalo Nogueira
- 17 Miguel Nogueira
- 20 Samu (c)
- 11 Gustavo
- 24 Alioune Ndoye
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave SC Braga 61%, the draw 23%, Guimaraes 16%. It finished SC Braga 1–0 Guimaraes.
SC Braga's rating gap decides it — SC Braga are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of SC Braga's 61%. The draw at 23% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why SC Braga at 61%?
SC Braga sit 207 points higher on our strength rating — 1883 to 1677. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,968 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 66–20–14.
Why only 61%?
Guimaraes sit -0.34 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.8% of 2,408 such games where the class table expected 36.3%. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims SC Braga's column. Across 10,864 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,716. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
SC Braga scored +0.64 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,816 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. SC Braga's last five: W-D-D-W-D — clearly the hotter side on recent results, and unbeaten in their last 9. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.7% of 2200 games when clearly hotter and 42.8% of 4015 when clearly colder. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the SC Braga vs Guimaraes final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Primeira Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from SC Braga 1–0 Guimaraes. Explore more on the SC Braga and Guimaraes team pages or the Primeira Liga page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of SC Braga vs Guimaraes?
SC Braga beat Guimaraes 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
›Who scored in SC Braga vs Guimaraes?
unattributed goal (54') for SC Braga.
›Where can I watch SC Braga vs Guimaraes highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from SC Braga 1–0 Guimaraes are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between SC Braga and Guimaraes?
SC Braga and Guimaraes have met 10 times — 4 wins for SC Braga, 3 wins for Guimaraes and 3 draws.