Casa Pia vs 30.08.26 17:000 – 1Full Time
Moreirense — Primeira Liga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Kiko strike gives Moreirense narrow win at winless Casa Pia
Moreirense secured a 1-0 victory away at Casa Pia in matchday four of the Primeira Liga, with the only goal of the game coming in the first half. The result lifted Vasco Costa's side while leaving Casa Pia, managed by Filipe Coelho, still searching for their first points of the campaign.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Kiko put the visitors ahead in the 24th minute, converting after being set up by João Veloso, and that goal proved decisive as the score stayed 0-1 through to half-time and remained that way for the rest of the contest. Casa Pia pushed for an equaliser but could not find a way past the Moreirense defence.
Despite Casa Pia dominating possession with 62 percent of the ball and registering more shots overall, Moreirense were the more efficient side, generating a higher expected-goals total and converting their best chance. Casa Pia picked up three yellow cards to Moreirense's one, with referee Luis Godinho booking players from both sides throughout.
Kiko scored the only goal of the match and finished with a rating of 7.9, the highest of any player on the pitch.
Casa Pia's 62 percent share of possession told only part of the story, as Moreirense made their fewer opportunities count instead.
Moreirense won 1–0 away against Casa Pia (half-time 0–1).
Casa Pia met Moreirense in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Sunday, 30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior. Referee: Luis Godinho.
Team pages: Casa Pia · Moreirense · Primeira Liga
Key moments
- 24' Goal: Kiko (assist: João Veloso) — 0–1 · Watch Kiko's goal video (24')
Starting line-ups
Casa Pia (4-2-3-1)
- 31 André Gomes
- 75 Pedro Rosas
- 43 David Sousa
- 4 João Goulart
- 18 Geraldes (c)
- 80 Lawrence Ofori
- 16 Silvi
- 10 Rochinha
- 70 João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo
- 19 Kevin Prieto
- 20 Alassana Jatta
Moreirense (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Casa Pia 32%, the draw 35%, Moreirense 33%. It finished Casa Pia 0–1 Moreirense.
Moreirense's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Moreirense are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their control of the ball plus the early-season home fade on top give Moreirense the lean. The draw at 35% is the likeliest single result, lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Moreirense at 33%?
Moreirense sit 79 points higher on our strength rating — 1484 to 1563. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 32.9% of 10,561 such games. Moreirense hold 8 more possession points (49 to 41 in recent games) across a 79-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,643 such games where the class table expected 41.3%. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Casa Pia's column. Across 10,823 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 40–31–29.
Why only 33%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 33% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 35% and Casa Pia at 32%.
Why is the draw the likeliest result?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.2 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,154. The goals environment adds 3.7 points to the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Casa Pia sit -0.48 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Casa Pia on 5 days' rest, Moreirense on 14. Once class is accounted for, rest gaps stopped mattering — across 43,569 measured games no rest advantage repeated.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Casa Pia vs Moreirense final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Primeira Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Casa Pia 0–1 Moreirense. Explore more on the Casa Pia and Moreirense team pages or the Primeira Liga page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Moreirense?
Moreirense won 1–0 away against Casa Pia (half-time 0–1).
›Who scored in Casa Pia vs Moreirense?
Kiko (24') for Moreirense.
›Where can I watch Casa Pia vs Moreirense highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Casa Pia 0–1 Moreirense are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Casa Pia and Moreirense?
Casa Pia and Moreirense have met 6 times — 2 wins for Casa Pia, 3 wins for Moreirense and 1 draw.