Casa Pia vs Sporting CP — Primeira Liga: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsVSPORTS - Liga PortugalYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 9′Casa Pia, yellow card:Foul
- 13′Sporting CP, goal:0–1assist
- 20′Casa Pia, yellow card:Foul
- 29′Sporting CP, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 62′Sporting CP, substitution:off
- 62′Sporting CP, substitution:off
- 62′Sporting CP, substitution:off
- 64′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 74′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 76′Sporting CP, substitution:off
- 85′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 85′Casa Pia, substitution:off
- 86′Sporting CP, substitution:off
- 90+3′Sporting CP, yellow card:Foul
- 90+4′Sporting CP, goal:0–2assist
- Full-time0 – 2
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Casa Pia
Sporting CP
Match report
Sporting CP beat Casa Pia 2-0 with late Catamo goal
Sporting CP won 2-0 at Casa Pia on Matchday 10 of the Primeira Liga, Pedro Lima scoring in the 13th minute and Geny Catamo adding a second in the 90+4th minute at the Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The result lifted the visitors to 21 points from 10 games, third in the table.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Lima's goal came early, converting a delivery from Iván Fresneda to put Sporting ahead and leave the hosts chasing the game. Casa Pia reached half-time only one goal down, but the visitors kept control after the restart, finishing with 23 shots to 12 and 55 per cent of the possession.
Casa Pia rarely troubled the Sporting goal, managing two shots on target to 11 from the visitors, and the game stayed within reach until stoppage time. Then Fresneda supplied the pass once more and Catamo finished to make it 2-0. Casa Pia stayed 17th with seven points, 14 behind Sporting.
Sporting travel to Shakhtar Donetsk in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday, while Casa Pia are away to Alverca in the Primeira Liga on Saturday.
Iván Fresneda provided the assist for both goals and earned the match's highest rating, 8.94. Pedro Lima, who scored the opener, was rated 8.2.
Sporting put 11 shots on target to Casa Pia's two.
Sporting CP won 2–0 away against Casa Pia (half-time 0–1).
Casa Pia met Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Friday, 30 October 2026, 20:15 UTC at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. Referee: Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca.
Team pages: Casa Pia · Sporting CP · Primeira Liga
Key moments
- 13' Goal: Pedro Lima (assist: Iván Fresneda) — 0–1 · Watch Pedro Lima's goal video (13')
- 90+4' Goal: Geny Catamo (assist: Iván Fresneda) — 0–2 · Watch Geny Catamo's goal video (90+4')
Starting line-ups
Casa Pia (4-2-3-1)
Sporting CP (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Casa Pia 13%, the draw 17%, Sporting CP 70%. It finished Casa Pia 0–2 Sporting CP.
Sporting CP's strength gap shapes a one-sided forecast — We give Sporting CP 70% mainly because they sit 382 points higher on our strength rating, 1821 to 1440, which outweighs the usual home advantage Casa Pia start with. The draw sits at 17%, right at the usual draw rate for a strength gap this size, with nothing listed moving it either way.
Why Sporting CP at 70%?
Sporting CP sit 382 points higher on our strength rating — 1821 to 1440. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 6,307 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 13–16–71.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 70% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 17% and Casa Pia at 13%.
Why is the draw only 17%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 17.4%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,237.
What did we measure but not count?
Sporting CP have averaged 15 percentage points more possession than Casa Pia in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Casa Pia have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Casa Pia vs Sporting CP final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Primeira Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Casa Pia 0–2 Sporting CP. Explore more on the Casa Pia and Sporting CP team pages or the Primeira Liga page.