1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow2 clips- 6′1. FC Magdeburg, yellow card:
- 20′Holstein Kiel, yellow card:
- 28′1. FC Magdeburg, yellow card:
- 31′1. FC Magdeburg, yellow card:
- 44′Holstein Kiel, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 46′1. FC Magdeburg, substitution:off
- 47′1. FC Magdeburg, yellow card:
- 54′Holstein Kiel, yellow card:
- 64′1. FC Magdeburg, yellow card:
- 64′Holstein Kiel, substitution:off
- 72′1. FC Magdeburg, goal:1–0assist
- 75′1. FC Magdeburg, substitution:off
- 79′Holstein Kiel, substitution:off
- 81′1. FC Magdeburg, goal:2–0assist
- 84′Holstein Kiel, yellow card:
- 85′Holstein Kiel, substitution:off
- 86′1. FC Magdeburg, substitution:off
- 90+2′1. FC Magdeburg, substitution:off
- 90+2′1. FC Magdeburg, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
1. FC Magdeburg
Holstein Kiel
Match report
Magdeburg see off Kiel with second-half double at the Avnet-Arena
1. FC Magdeburg beat Holstein Kiel 2-0 at the Avnet-Arena in matchday three of the 2. Bundesliga, a result that kept them fifth in the table while Kiel remained down in 17th. The game stayed scoreless through a goalless first half before Magdeburg pulled clear after the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Mateusz Żukowski broke the deadlock in the 72nd minute, converting after being set up by Barış Atik, and Magdeburg doubled their advantage nine minutes later when Luka-Mikael Hyryläinen scored from an Alexander Nollenberger assist to make it 2-0. Kiel, who had won only one of their previous five matches, could not find a response.
Despite seeing just 36 per cent of the ball, Magdeburg produced the sharper football, with the underlying numbers reflecting their control in the final third. The home side had far fewer fouls committed against them but picked up more bookings, with Jarno Wienefeld issuing five yellow cards to Magdeburg's opponents and four against the hosts themselves.
Hyryläinen capped his display with the second goal of the night and finished with a 7.9 rating, level with goalkeeper Dominik Reimann as Magdeburg's top performer, while Atik's assist on the opener also earned him praise.
Magdeburg's 2.11 expected goals figure, well above Kiel's 0.83, underlined how much more clinical their chances were despite having only just over a third of the possession.
1. FC Magdeburg beat Holstein Kiel 2–0 (half-time 0–0).
1. FC Magdeburg met Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Sunday, 30 August 2026, 11:30 UTC at Avnet Arena. Referee: Jarno Wienefeld.
Team pages: 1. FC Magdeburg · Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 72' Goal: Mateusz Żukowski (assist: Barış Atik) — 1–0 · Watch Mateusz Żukowski's goal video (72')
- 81' Goal: Luka Hyryläinen (assist: Alexander Nollenberger) — 2–0 · Watch Luka Hyryläinen's goal video (81')
Starting line-ups
1. FC Magdeburg (4-3-3)
Holstein Kiel (4-3-2-1)
- 1 Timon Weiner
- 47 John Tolkin
- 26 David Zec
- 13 Ivan Nekić
- 32 Hiroki Sekine
- 15 Kasper Davidsen
- 28 Jonas Meffert (c)
- 8 Guillermo Balzi
- 10 Jonas Therkelsen
- 20 Adrián Kaprálik
- 19 Phil Harres
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave 1. FC Magdeburg 43%, the draw 26%, Holstein Kiel 31%. It finished 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 Holstein Kiel.
Level sides, home ground swings it, even this early in the season — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Holstein Kiel's hot finishing due to cool gives 1. FC Magdeburg the lean. The draw at 26% is nudged down by the same factors that shape the win chances.
Why 1. FC Magdeburg in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1536 to 1548. Sides this close won 43.2% of 15,844 home games (draw 26.7%, visitors 30.1%). Holstein Kiel scored +0.41 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 29.0% of 1,465 games, vs 29.0% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 43%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims 1. FC Magdeburg's column. Across 10,823 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why the draw at 26%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,926. The cool-off factor takes 2.0 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Last 6 between them: 1. FC Magdeburg 3 wins, 3 draws, Holstein Kiel 0 wins. Most recently Holstein Kiel 1–3 1. FC Magdeburg, 4 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 43.1% of 5065 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the 1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Mateusz Żukowski's goal against Holstein Kiel (72').
- Watch Luka Hyryläinen's goal against Holstein Kiel (81').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 Holstein Kiel. Explore more on the 1. FC Magdeburg and Holstein Kiel team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.