FC St. Pauli vs 30.08.26 11:301 – 2Full Time
1. FC Kaiserslautern — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Kaiserslautern hold off St. Pauli fightback to win at Millerntor-Stadion
FC St. Pauli went down 1-2 to 1. FC Kaiserslautern in a 2. Bundesliga round three fixture at Millerntor-Stadion, extending the hosts' winless run in front of their own supporters. Kaiserslautern's away form under Torsten Lieberknecht continues to pay off, while Marcel Rapp's St. Pauli side remain stuck near the bottom of the table.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Erencan Yardımcı put the visitors ahead in the 29th minute, finishing off a Semih Şahin assist to make it 0-1 at the break. Kaiserslautern doubled their lead almost immediately after the restart when T. Fidjeu-Tazemeta scored in the 46th minute, pushing the score to 0-2 within seconds of the second half beginning.
St. Pauli responded through Abdoulie Ceesay in the 56th minute, converting a Taichi Hara assist to reduce the deficit to 1-2, but they could not find a leveller despite dominating possession and generating more shots across the match.
Kaiserslautern managed the contest efficiently after their fast start, absorbing pressure as St. Pauli pushed forward in search of an equaliser that never arrived.
Julian Krahl was rated the top performer on the pitch with a 7.7 mark despite not registering a goal or assist, while Erencan Yardımcı backed up his rating with the opening goal and Taichi Hara supplied the assist for St. Pauli's reply.
St. Pauli held 58% of possession and out-shot Kaiserslautern 21 to 11, yet it was the away side's clinical finishing that decided the contest.
1. FC Kaiserslautern won 2–1 away against FC St. Pauli (half-time 0–1).
FC St. Pauli met 1. FC Kaiserslautern in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Sunday, 30 August 2026, 11:30 UTC at Millerntor-Stadion. Referee: Eric-Dominic Weisbach.
Team pages: FC St. Pauli · 1. FC Kaiserslautern · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 29' Goal: Erencan Yardımcı (assist: Semih Şahin) — 0–1 · Watch Erencan Yardımcı's goal video (29')
- 46' Goal: T. Fidjeu-Tazemeta — 0–2 · Watch T. Fidjeu-Tazemeta's goal video (46')
- 56' Goal: Abdoulie Ceesay (assist: Taichi Hara) — 1–2 · Watch Abdoulie Ceesay's goal video (56')
Starting line-ups
FC St. Pauli (3-4-1-2)
1. FC Kaiserslautern (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave FC St. Pauli 37%, the draw 33%, 1. FC Kaiserslautern 30%. It finished FC St. Pauli 1–2 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
Level sides, home ground holds off 1. FC Kaiserslautern's cold finishing due to recover — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and FC St. Pauli's 37% is home ground and little else. The draw at 33% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why FC St. Pauli in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1617 to 1567. Sides this close won 45.6% of 14,515 home games (draw 26.5%, visitors 27.9%).
Why only 37%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. 1. FC Kaiserslautern sit -0.41 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.5% of 1,331 games, vs 29.0% for visitors finishing normally. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims FC St. Pauli's column. Across 10,823 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the 1. FC Kaiserslautern win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.1 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,154. The goals environment adds 3.5 points to the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
FC St. Pauli sit -0.38 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Last 6 between them: FC St. Pauli 3 wins, 2 draws, 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1 win. Most recently FC St. Pauli 2–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern, 3 years ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 43.1% of 5065 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Erencan Yardımcı's goal against FC St. Pauli (29').
- Watch T. Fidjeu-Tazemeta's goal against FC St. Pauli (46').
- Watch Abdoulie Ceesay's goal against 1. FC Kaiserslautern (56').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from FC St. Pauli 1–2 1. FC Kaiserslautern. Explore more on the FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Kaiserslautern team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.