SV Darmstadt 98 vs 30.08.26 11:300 – 1Full Time
Hannover 96 — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Ten-man Darmstadt fall to Gindorf penalty against Hannover
SV Darmstadt 98 lost 1-0 to Hannover 96 at the Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor in a 2. Bundesliga fixture from the third round of matches. The game turned early when Aleksandar Vukotić was sent off for the home side in the 20th minute, leaving Darmstadt to play the majority of the contest a man short.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
With the numerical advantage in hand, Hannover dominated territory and chances but had to wait until after the interval to break through. Lars Gindorf converted a penalty in the 57th minute to make it 0-1, and that scoreline held to the final whistle, with the first half finishing goalless.
Hannover's control was reflected across the statistics, as the visitors managed 67 percent of possession compared to Darmstadt's 33, and outshot their hosts 26 to 11, with seven shots on target to three. Darmstadt's red card and the extra man advantage for Hannover shaped a match in which the home side struggled to create clear openings after going down to ten.
Marcel Schuhen was the standout figure for Darmstadt on the day, rated 9.2 despite the defeat, while Nicolas Verkooijen also impressed for the home side with a 7.9 rating. Boris Tomiak was Hannover's top-rated performer at 7.9.
Hannover's dominance in shots, 26 to Darmstadt's 11, underlined their control of the match after the sending-off.
Hannover 96 won 1–0 away against SV Darmstadt 98 (half-time 0–0).
SV Darmstadt 98 met Hannover 96 in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Sunday, 30 August 2026, 11:30 UTC at Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor. Referee: Timo Gerach.
Team pages: SV Darmstadt 98 · Hannover 96 · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 20' Red card: Aleksandar Vukotić
- 57' Goal (penalty): Lars Gindorf — 0–1 · Watch Lars Gindorf's goal video (57')
Starting line-ups
SV Darmstadt 98 (4-1-4-1)
Hannover 96 (3-4-1-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave SV Darmstadt 98 32%, the draw 27%, Hannover 96 41%. It finished SV Darmstadt 98 0–1 Hannover 96.
Hannover 96's rating edge outweighs SV Darmstadt 98's home ground — Hannover 96 are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Hannover 96 the lean. The draw at 27% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Hannover 96 at 41%?
Hannover 96 sit 115 points higher on our strength rating — 1552 to 1666. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,122 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims SV Darmstadt 98's column. Across 10,823 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 31–30–39.
Why only 41%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 41% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and SV Darmstadt 98 at 32%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,046. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
SV Darmstadt 98 have shed 79 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,686 such games vs 34.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Last 6 between them: SV Darmstadt 98 4 wins, 0 draws, Hannover 96 2 wins. Most recently SV Darmstadt 98 0–2 Hannover 96, 5 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 43.1% of 5065 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the SV Darmstadt 98 vs Hannover 96 final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from SV Darmstadt 98 0–1 Hannover 96. Explore more on the SV Darmstadt 98 and Hannover 96 team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.