1. FC Heidenheim vs 29.08.26 11:005 – 3Full Time
Dynamo Dresden — 2. Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Heidenheim overturn Dresden lead with five-goal second-half blitz
1. FC Heidenheim ran out 5-3 winners over Dynamo Dresden in a chaotic 2. Bundesliga clash at the Voith-Arena, overturning a half-time deficit with four goals in the closing quarter of the match. Dresden had led 1-0 at the break through Vincent Vermeij, who converted a Jonas Sterner assist in the 30th minute.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Jan Schöppner levelled for Heidenheim in the 67th minute, assisted by Michael Heule, but Dresden responded swiftly. Thomas Keller was sent off for the visitors in the 69th minute, yet they still retook the lead four minutes later when Robert Wagner scored from a Ben Bobzien pass to make it 2-1.
Heidenheim's response was emphatic. F. Muller's own goal levelled things at 2-2 in the 77th minute before Oualid Mhamdi restored the hosts' lead in the 87th. Julian Niehues, teed up by Paul Hennrich, added a fourth two minutes later, and Maximilian Breunig struck in the first minute of stoppage time to make it 5-2. Sterner grabbed a late consolation for Dresden in the 90+7th minute, assisted by Tobias Raschl, but the damage was already done.
Heidenheim dominated possession with 63 percent of the ball and outshot Dresden 27 to 17, with their expected goals figure of 3.24 reflecting the attacking pressure they exerted despite playing a numerical disadvantage for large spells before Keller's dismissal evened things out.
Julian Niehues capped a lively cameo with a goal and the joint-highest rating of the match at 8.3, playing a key role in Heidenheim's late surge.
Heidenheim's 63 percent share of possession underlined their control despite conceding the game's opening goal.
1. FC Heidenheim beat Dynamo Dresden 5–3 (half-time 0–1).
1. FC Heidenheim met Dynamo Dresden in the 2. Bundesliga (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Saturday, 29 August 2026, 11:00 UTC at Voith-Arena. Referee: Felix Bickel.
Team pages: 1. FC Heidenheim · Dynamo Dresden · 2. Bundesliga
Key moments
- 30' Goal: Vincent Vermeij (assist: Jonas Sterner) — 0–1 · Watch Vincent Vermeij's goal video (30')
- 67' Goal: Jan Schöppner (assist: Michael Heule) — 1–1 · Watch Jan Schöppner's goal video (67')
- 69' Red card: Thomas Keller
- 73' Goal: Robert Wagner (assist: Ben Bobzien) — 1–2 · Watch Robert Wagner's goal video (73')
- 77' Goal (own goal): F. Muller — 2–2 · Watch F. Muller's goal video (77')
- 87' Goal: Oualid Mhamdi — 3–2 · Watch Oualid Mhamdi's goal video (87')
- 89' Goal: Julian Niehues (assist: Paul Hennrich) — 4–2 · Watch Julian Niehues's goal video (89')
- 90' Goal: Maximilian Breunig — 5–2 · Watch Maximilian Breunig's goal video (90')
- 90' Goal: Jonas Sterner (assist: Tobias Raschl) — 5–3 · Watch Jonas Sterner's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
1. FC Heidenheim (4-4-2)
Dynamo Dresden (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Tim Schreiber
- 19 Alexander Rossipal
- 42 F. Muller
- 39 Thomas Keller
- 32 Jonas Sterner
- 29 Lukas Boeder
- 18 Robert Wagner
- 20 Ben Bobzien
- 27 Niklas Hauptmann (c)
- 20 B. Bobzien
- 11 Kaan Inanoglu
- 9 Vincent Vermeij
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave 1. FC Heidenheim 47%, the draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden 26%. It finished 1. FC Heidenheim 5–3 Dynamo Dresden.
1. FC Heidenheim's rating edge, but the draw is in play — 1. FC Heidenheim are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and that is most of 1. FC Heidenheim's 47%. The draw at 27% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why 1. FC Heidenheim at 47%?
1. FC Heidenheim sit 98 points higher on our strength rating — 1601 to 1503. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.6% of 10,384 such games.
Why only 47%?
Dynamo Dresden hold 6 more possession points (54 to 48 in recent games) across a 98-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,634 such games where the class table expected 41.3%. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims 1. FC Heidenheim's column. Across 10,761 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Dynamo Dresden win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,023. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Dynamo Dresden have gained 96 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,243 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Last 6 between them: 1. FC Heidenheim 3 wins, 2 draws, Dynamo Dresden 1 win. Most recently Dynamo Dresden 1–1 1. FC Heidenheim, 5 years ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 43.1% of 5060 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the 1. FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this 2. Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Vincent Vermeij's goal against 1. FC Heidenheim (30').
- Watch Jan Schöppner's goal against Dynamo Dresden (67').
- Watch Robert Wagner's goal against 1. FC Heidenheim (73').
- Watch F. Muller's own goal video (77').
- Watch Oualid Mhamdi's goal against Dynamo Dresden (87').
- Watch Julian Niehues's goal against Dynamo Dresden (89').
- Watch Maximilian Breunig's goal against Dynamo Dresden (90').
- Watch Jonas Sterner's goal against 1. FC Heidenheim (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from 1. FC Heidenheim 5–3 Dynamo Dresden. Explore more on the 1. FC Heidenheim and Dynamo Dresden team pages or the 2. Bundesliga page.